NJ-11 House election: Analilia Mejia vote percent

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · prices read 6 h ago

The odds

59.74%median
48%68%
Median 59.74%Middle half 56.87% – 62.64%

How the odds have moved

Median: 58.95% on Oct 19, 59.74% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 50% 96% ▼ 1 94¢ 98¢ $1.02
At least 52% 95% ▼ 1 92¢ 98¢ $1.02
At least 54% 93% 88¢ 97¢ $1.03
At least 56% 82% 77¢ 86¢ $1.16
At least 58% 67% 62¢ 71¢ $1.41
At least 60% 48% 43¢ 52¢ $1.92
At least 62% 30% 25¢ 34¢ $2.94
At least 64% 16% 11¢ 20¢ $5.00
At least 66% 7% 2¢ 11¢ $9.09

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: NJ- House, Analilia Mejia

Search ›
  • At Morris County early voting site, partisan divisions run deep as voters head to pollsNew Jersey Globe · 2 days agoRepublicans see a country moving in the right direction. Democrats think it’s headed the wrong way. At an early voting center in western Morris County on Saturday, there was little middle ground. At the Mount Olive municipal building…
  • New Democratic voices cool on Trump impeachment pushenmnews.com · 4 days agoFor years, impeachment was one of the loudest weapons in the Democratic arsenal against Donald Trump. Now, a new crop of progressives is sounding far less eager to turn it into a reflex. That shift is showing up in public comments from…
  • New Jersey State PBA Endorses Joe Hathaway for Congress in NJ-11Insider NJ · 5 days agoHathaway Earns Support of New Jersey's Largest Law Enforcement Union as Mejia's Anti-Police Record Comes Under Scrutiny RANDOLPH, NJ - Joe Hathaway, Republican nominee for Congress in New Jersey's 11th Congressional District, has received…
  • Mejia Shares a Kean Story at Morris FundraiserInsider NJ · 5 days agoMOUNTAIN LAKES - Analilia Mejia is not running against Tom Kean Jr. But she came to Wednesday night's Morris County Democratic fundraiser with a Tom Kean story. Mejia got to the House after winning a special CD-11 election in April. That's…
  • New Jersey State Policemen's Benevolent Association Endorses Joe Hathaway for CongressMorris Focus · 6 days agoRANDOLPH — Joe Hathaway, Republican nominee for Congress in New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District, has received the endorsement of the New Jersey State Policemen’s Benevolent Association (PBA), one of the state’s most prominent law…
  • N.J. man among those detained as volunteers protect Palestinian farmers in West Bank from violenceNew Jersey Globe · 5 days agoBy Jonathan D. Salant, October 21 2026 7:46 pm WASHINGTON — A Cedar Grove man was among those detained by Israeli forces while helping Palestinian farmers harvest their olive crop in the West Bank, an action that Rep. Analilia Mejia called…
  • State PBA endorses Kean for re-electionNew Jersey Globe · 7 days agoPolice union also supports Van Drew, Smith, Gottheimer and Pallone, but stays neutral in U.S. Senate race By David Wildstein, October 20 2026 3:51 pm The New Jersey State Policemen’s Benevolent Association has endorsed Rep. Tom Kean, Jr…
  • Democrats slam Trump's endorsement of Benjamin NetanyahuThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 7 days agoA day after US President Donald Trump endorsed Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the Israeli election eight days from now, US policy analysts, Democratic lawmakers, and liberal advocacy groups slammed the decision. Trump announced his…
  • Just Two Weeks (almost) To GoInsider NJ · 8 days agoEDITOR'S NOTE: Some random thoughts two weeks - minus one day - from the midterms. Rebecca Bennett is certainly drawing big names. Gabby Giffords was in CD-7 earlier this month. So was Hakeem Jeffries. And last Friday was a rally with Pete…
  • 'Suspicious' Packages Sent To 4 NJ Lawmakers Ahead Of ElectionsAcross New Jersey · 8 days agoElected officials across the country, including four in New Jersey, have reported receiving threatening and suspicious packages just weeks away from the 2026 General Election. Last week, U.S. Representatives Bonnie Watson Coleman (D-12)…
  • Jamesburg councilman’s racism and bizarre Facebook rants draw scrutinyNJTODAY.NEWS · 9 days agoJamesburg Councilman Bertin Lefkovic is facing explosive new scrutiny after a series of unhinged Facebook posts surfaced, revealing a pattern of inflammatory and racially charged commentary that critics say exposes his true motivations…
  • Top Democrats were sent letter with 'suspicious substance' — at least a dozen others targeted, feds sayBlaze Media · 10 days agoSome of the politicians said their letter had a return address for the DSA. Numerous politicians reported receiving letters with a suspicious substance on Friday, including Democratic Sen. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota. The Federal Bureau of…

Related markets

All house ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions