Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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NJ-06 House election: Frank Pallone vote percent
The odds
61.65%median
52%72%
Median 61.65%Middle half 58.94% – 64.33%
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.76% on Oct 19, 61.65% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 56% | 94% | ▲ 1 | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 58% | 83% | ▲ 1 | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | |
| At least 60% | 67% | ▲ 1 | 62¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | |
| At least 62% | 47% | ▲ 1 | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | |
| At least 64% | 28% | 23¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | ||
| At least 66% | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| At least 68% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 70% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NJ- House, Frank Pallone
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E&C Democrats Demand Answers from CDC Director on Unethical Hepatitis B Study on Newborn Children |Today, Energy and Commerce Committee Democratic leaders demanded answers from Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Director Erica Schwartz following the agency’s decision to rush through funding for an experiment in… - Pallone Continues Inquiry into Surveillance Pricing Practices, Demanding Answers from Rideshare, Ticketing, Travel Booking, and Food Delivery Industries |Washington, D.C. – Energy and Commerce Committee Ranking Member Frank Pallone, Jr. (D-NJ) expanded his inquiry into corporate surveillance pricing by demanding answers from rideshare, ticketing, travel booking, and food delivery…
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2026 Election In Woodbridge: When, Where To VoteWOODBRIDGE, NJ — Election Day is Nov. 3. While there is no Council or mayor election this year in Woodbridge, residents will be asked to make a choice for U.S. Senate and Congress, and choose three school board candidates. For Woodbridge… -
2026 Election In Middletown: When, Where To VoteMIDDLETOWN, NJ — Election Day is Nov. 3, but early, in-person voting starts Saturday. Middletown residents will be asked to make a choice for U.S. Senate, Congress, choose two people for Middletown Township Committee and elect three people… -
Gopal, Donlon and Peterpaul Celebrate Italian-American Heritage, Honor Five Monmouth County ResidentsLONG BRANCH, NJ — Good food, strong families, hard work, and always making room for one more person at the dinner table. Those are just some of the traditions that have helped shape Italian-American culture, and on Sunday, October 18… -
CEI welcomes research fellow Alec Mena to Center for Advancing CapitalismThe Competitive Enterprise Institute welcomes Alec Mena as a research fellow in CEI’s Center for Advancing Capitalism. Mena most recently managed state government affairs at Citizens Against Government Waste. He holds a B.A. in political… -
State PBA endorses Kean for re-electionPolice union also supports Van Drew, Smith, Gottheimer and Pallone, but stays neutral in U.S. Senate race By David Wildstein, October 20 2026 3:51 pm The New Jersey State Policemen’s Benevolent Association has endorsed Rep. Tom Kean, Jr… - Press Release: Pallone and Booker Call for Cuts to Atlantic Menhaden Fishing LimitsPallone and Booker urge deeper menhaden fishing cuts to protect New Jersey’s coastal wildlife and ecosystem. Lawmakers seek lower menhaden catch limits: Congressman Frank Pallone and Senator Cory Booker are urging the Atlantic States…
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Pallone, Booker Push to Protect Critical Fish That Sustain New Jersey’s Marine Wildlife and Fishing IndustryWASHINGTON, DC – Congressman Frank Pallone, Jr. (NJ-06) and Senator Cory Booker (D-NJ) are calling for stronger protections for Atlantic menhaden, a small fish that plays an enormous role in New Jersey’s coastal ecosystem. Commonly known… -
Voucher program notches win as clock ticksDelivered every Tuesday and Friday by 12 p.m., Prescription Pulse examines the latest pharmaceutical news and policy. You will now start receiving email updates By LAUREN GARDNER and DAVID LIM 09/20/2024 12:00 PM EDT The FDA's priority… -
'Suspicious' Packages Sent To 4 NJ Lawmakers Ahead Of ElectionsElected officials across the country, including four in New Jersey, have reported receiving threatening and suspicious packages just weeks away from the 2026 General Election. Last week, U.S. Representatives Bonnie Watson Coleman (D-12)… -
Republican Hillary Herzig Challenges Democrat Frank Pallone For U.S. CongressOCEANPORT, NJ — Hillary Herzig is the Republican running against Democrat Frank Pallone this year for U.S. Congress. The election will be Nov. 3, but mail-in ballots were already sent to homes and early, in-person voting will be Oct. 24…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions