Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.14%median
14%34%
Median 28.14%Middle half 25.94% – 30.67%
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NJ-04 House election: Rachel Peace vote percent
The odds
35.5%median
28%48%
Median 35.5%Middle half 32.36% – 38.36%
How the odds have moved
Median: 36.29% on Oct 19, 35.5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 32% | 78% | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 400 | |
| At least 34% | 64% | 59¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 100 | |
| At least 36% | 46% | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | ||
| At least 38% | 28% | 23¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 209 | |
| At least 40% | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| At least 42% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | ||
| At least 44% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 46% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NJ- House, Rachel Peace
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2026 Election In Middletown: When, Where To VoteMIDDLETOWN, NJ — Election Day is Nov. 3, but early, in-person voting starts Saturday. Middletown residents will be asked to make a choice for U.S. Senate, Congress, choose two people for Middletown Township Committee and elect three people… -
Foreign Policy Drives Demands For Accountability From House Candidates In NJBy Dana DiFilippo, New Jersey Monitor Foreign policy has taken an outsized role in the run-up to next month’s midterm elections, as candidates and voters alike increasingly blame the Iran war and new tariffs for worsening affordability at… -
What midterms could mean for Realtors and the housing marketHousing affordability remains a central issue in the lead-up to November’s midterm elections — with congressional and gubernatorial candidates proposing changes to homebuyer assistance, mortgage financing, property taxes, zoning and… -
Insider NJ’s Morning Intelligence Briefing: 10/12/2026QUOTE OF THE DAY: "I would still consider Van Drew’s district to be an uphill climb for Democrats. If the blue tsunami continues to rise and continues to get taller, then it could sweep up a district like this. There’s a lot of seawall…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions