Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
Install
NE-03 House election: Adrian Smith vote percent
The odds
70.4%median
64%84%
Median 70.4%Middle half 67.93% – 72.82%
How the odds have moved
Median: 72.36% on Oct 20, 70.4% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 66% | 89% | ▼ 2 | 86¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | |
| At least 68% | 75% | ▼ 2 | 72¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | |
| At least 70% | 55% | ▼ 3 | 53¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | |
| At least 72% | 32% | ▼ 3 | 30¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 2.4K |
| At least 74% | 15% | ▼ 2 | 12¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 1.4K |
| At least 76% | 4% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | $12.50 | ||
| At least 78% | 3% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 80% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 82% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NE- House, Adrian Smith
Search ›-
One-on-one interview with Rep. Adrian Smith ahead of midterm rallyKOLN | Nebraska Local News, Weather, Sports | Lincoln, NE One-on-one interview with Rep. Adrian Smith ahead of midterm rally Video of scene of crash at South 84th Street and Foxtail Drive FULL VIDEO: Vice President JD Vance speaks at… -
Nebraska Gov. Jim Pillen leans on conservative base in bid for reelectionFALLS CITY, Neb. — Between bites of brisket in a barn converted into an event space, Gov. Jim Pillen reflected on his reelection campaign and smiled. U.S. Vice President JD Vance campaigned Thursday for U.S. Sen. Pete Ricketts, Nebraska… -
What to know: JD Vance rallies for Republicans in North PlatteA Lincoln teen was killed in a crash on O Street in east Lincoln on Friday night, police say. Police said the home’s previous owner, who has since died, had a connection to Duggan’s Pub and Bos. The longtime area oncologist has accepted a… -
Vance visits North Platte, announces $1.3 billion investmentNORTH PLATTE, Neb. (KLKN) — On Oct. 22, Vice President JD Vance visited North Platte to speak at a midterm rally. One of the biggest things Vance announced was an investment into Nebraska’s economy. “I am proud to announce $1.3 billion of… -
Coupang spends $3.6m lobbying Washington as midterms approachBusiness Coupang spends $3.6m lobbying Washington as midterms approach Published : Oct. 23, 2026 - 15:16:23 My reporting finds form wherever the 'K-' prefix grafts onto food, beauty and fashion E-commerce giant Coupang spent about $3.6… -
Hundreds pack D&N as Vance pledges cheaper fertilizer for farmersNORTH PLATTE, Neb. (KNOP) - Vice President JD Vance rallied several hundred supporters at the D&N Event Center in North Platte on Thursday, announcing a $1.3 billion investment in domestic fertilizer manufacturing. Vance said the funding… -
JD Vance's North Platte visit: Dan Osborn bashing, fertilizer and woman fainting incidentVice President JD Vance held a midterm rally in North Platte on Thursday morning, endorsing Nebraska GOP candidates ahead of the elections and announcing a major investment tied to fertilizer manufacturing in the state. “Well, ladies and… -
Liberty soars into postseason with sweep of Routt CatholicKLTV.com Liberty soars into postseason with sweep of Routt Catholic Iowa, Illinois recommend $237 million bridge to replace Centennial Bridge One-on-one interview with Rep. Adrian Smith ahead of midterm rally WATCH: Morning Pulse with… -
WATCH A REPLAY: Midterm Rally featuring JD Vance in North PlatteNORTH PLATTE, Neb. (KNOP) - Vice President JD Vance headlined a Midterm Rally at the D&N Event Center on Thursday, rallying conservative voters among what he called the “Billy Bobs and Mary Joes” of America while announcing significant… -
Details confirmed on Scott Colom rally with HarrisWOWT Details confirmed on Scott Colom rally with Harris Grassroots arts group in Havana finds new home, builds community JMU set for trip to App State on short week Iowa, Illinois recommend $237 million bridge to replace Centennial Bridge… - 40,000 Nebraskans lost food aid a year after SNAP changesKOLN | Nebraska Local News, Weather, Sports | Lincoln, NE 40,000 Nebraskans lost food aid a year after SNAP changes VIDEO: Vice President JD Vance arrives in North Platte for midterm rally One-on-one interview with Rep. Adrian Smith ahead…
-
Vance announces investment in domestic fertilizer manufacturing in NebraskaNORTH PLATTE — JD Vance became the first vice president to visit North Platte on Thursday, campaigning for Sen. Pete Ricketts and Gov. Jim Pillen as they face challenging reelection bids. Ricketts and Pillen hit similar notes in their…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 17.96%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
45.8%median
36%56%
Median 45.8%Middle half 43.1% – 48.62%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.55%median
0%16%
Median 10.55%Middle half 8.3% – 13.35%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.67%median
7%40%
Median 13.67%Middle half 10.39% – 17.39%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.26%median
30%65%
Median 45.26%Middle half 41.89% – 48.14%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions