Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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ND-AL House election: Julie Fedorchak vote percent
The odds
63.16%median
54%74%
Median 63.16%Middle half 60.61% – 65.68%
How the odds have moved
Median: 63.6% on Oct 19, 63.16% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | 157 | ||
| At least 58% | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 60% | 81% | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | ||
| At least 62% | 63% | 58¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | ||
| At least 64% | 41% | 37¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 5.00 | |
| At least 66% | 22% | 18¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 5.00 | |
| At least 68% | 9% | 5¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 5.00 | |
| At least 70% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 14.00 | ||
| At least 72% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: ND-AL House, Julie Fedorchak
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Officials debate cost of, need for free school meals measureNorth Dakotans will decide in November whether to adopt Measure 2, which would require schools to provide free breakfast and lunch to all North Dakota students, regardless of family income. North Dakota voters will decide this fall whether… -
North Dakota Supreme Court hears challenge to four GOP candidates' ballot eligibilityNorth Dakota’s Supreme Court heard arguments Wednesday in a case challenging four North Dakota Republican candidates’ eligibility to appear on the ballot because of alleged problems with the petitions they submitted to the Secretary of… -
Fedorchak provides details on Harvest Fuel Relief program for American farmersBismarck, ND – Congresswoman Julie Fedorchak (R-ND) applauded the announcement of the $8 billion Harvest Fuel Relief Program to help North Dakota farmers manage rising input costs, including diesel, during harvest season. Funded through… -
Fedorchak highlights rural hospital support during Elgin, Bowman visitsBOWMAN, N.D. — Congresswoman Julie Fedorchak highlighted legislation to extend a rural hospital program and discussed workforce and reimbursement challenges during roundtables in Elgin and Bowman. The North Dakota Republican met with… -
North Dakota US House candidates differ on federal oversight of AIBISMARCK — North Dakota’s top Republican and Democratic candidates for the U.S. House generally agree on the need for local control and greater transparency when it comes to developing data centers in North Dakota. The differences between… -
Letter: Rep. Julie Fedorchak fights for affordabilityAffordability matters deeply to our people because it determines where we can work, start a business, build families, and pursue the American Dream. I was recently listening to NPR’s All Things Considered on Prairie Public Radio (90.5 FM)… -
Former North Dakota state lawmaker Richard Becker dies at 84Former Grand Forks state lawmaker Richard Becker died Friday at Valley Senior Living on Columbia in Grand Forks. He was 84. The North Dakota Commerce Department identified two Development Fund board leaders connected to nearly $4 million… -
Deer disease outbreak to impact hunting in much of southern North DakotaThe North Dakota Game and Fish Department announced Monday that it is closing four units to antlerless whitetail hunting ahead of the 2026 deer gun season to help whitetail numbers rebound from an ongoing outbreak of epizootic hemorrhagic… -
Port: National Democratic surge seem to be skipping North DakotaMINOT — National headlines tell us that, across the country, Democratic candidates are surging, both in the polls and in terms of fundraising. So much so that the blue party looks to be competitive even in some states that are historically… -
Bismarck speaks up: Letters to the editor for the week of Oct. 16, 2026Our weekly round-up of letters published in the Bismarck Tribune. This week, I attended my daughter’s freshman orchestra concert at Century High School. As I watched nearly 90 students perform together on a stage barely large enough to… -
Plain Talk: North Dakota U.S. House Debate | Julie Fedorchak vs. Trygve HammerWatch: North Dakota U.S. House Debate | Julie Fedorchak vs. Trygve Hammer MINOT — U.S. Rep. Julie Fedorchak, a Republican, and her Democratic-NPL challenger, Trygve Hammer, didn't agree on very much when they squared off for a debate on…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions