Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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NC-14 House election: Tim Moore vote percent
The odds
53.61%median
46%66%
Median 53.61%Middle half 51.24% – 55.86%
How the odds have moved
Median: 54.88% on Oct 20, 53.61% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 50% | 86% | 82¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | ||
| At least 52% | 69% | 64¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | ||
| At least 54% | 46% | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | ||
| At least 56% | 24% | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| At least 58% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 60% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 62% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 64% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NC- House, Tim Moore
Search ›- Congressional Family Business Caucus Signs Rep. Tim Moore as 51st MemberLawmakers Hear Directly from Family Business Leaders on Capitol Hill Washington DC, United States, October 21, 2026 — The bipartisan Congressional Family Business Caucus saw its 51st member, Rep. Tim Moore (R-NC), join its bipartisan ranks…
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Polk County receives nearly $2 million in FEMA fundingPublished 12:30 pm Friday, October 23, 2026 POLK COUNTY—Polk County will receive nearly $2 million in federal funding for Hurricane Helene debris removal, part of more than $13.8 million in Federal Emergency Management Agency funding… -
Congressman Tim Moore Announces Over $871 Million in Federal Funding for Hurricane Helene Recovery Across North CarolinaWASHINGTON, D.C. - Today, Congressman Tim Moore (NC-14) announced more than $871 million in federal funding from the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) for Hurricane Helene recovery across North Carolina, including the 14th… -
Junior commissioners holding candidate forumRRSpin A youth-led Candidates Forum will be held Saturday at 10 a.m. at the Rosenwald School located on the grounds of the 4-H Rural Life Center outside Halifax. The forum will be completely facilitated by the 2026-27 Halifax Junior County… - Press Release: Tim Moore Announces $871 Million in Federal Funding for Hurricane Helene Recovery in North CarolinaTim Moore announced $871 million in federal transportation funding for Hurricane Helene recovery across North Carolina. Federal funding announced: Congressman Tim Moore said the U.S. Department of Transportation is providing "more than…
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Local candidates discuss local issuesBrunswick County Board of Commissioners candidates (from left) Gary Woods, Randy Thompson, Sara Singer and Patti Hewett during the Oct. 18 Cedar Grove Improvement Association Candidate Forum. Brunswick County Board of Education candidates… -
Early Voting Starts in Mecklenburg County With 25 Sites Open for Midterm ElectionNorth Carolina's early voting for the 2026 midterm election began Thursday, Oct. 15 with the opening of 25 voting sites in Mecklenburg County. The 17-day early voting period ends at 3 p.m. on Oct. 31, ahead of Election Day on Tuesday, Nov… -
Fact check: Where candidates Erin Paré and Winn Decker stand on property taxesNorth Carolina voters are being asked on their ballots if they want to require the General Assembly to get involved with local property taxes. But the proposed amendment to the state constitution does not specify exactly how state… -
Dane Scalise’s Fixation on Cultural Wars Undermines HD 20 BidHome » Dane Scalise’s Fixation on Cultural Wars Undermines HD 20 Bid After a little over 3 years as a New Hanover County Commissioner, Republican Dane Scalise is running for NC House District 20. During a period when New Hanover residents… -
District 3 Ed Board candidates on their priorities, concerns and qualificationsWednesday, October 21, 2026 October 21: Uncertainty about when NC12 will re-open on Hatteras/ Currituck Commissioners learn what SNAP changes will cost the county/ And a look at the amazing fall migration of birds across the OBX. NCDOT… -
Battling for NC House seats in Northeastern countiesIn Northeastern North Carolina, several Democrats are seeking to unseat incumbent Republicans in the General Assembly. Alongside focusing on affordability as a campaign issue, these legislative candidates are considering how to… - Fact check: Who placed these trans rights signs? Wake candidate says he didn’tThe Wake County Republican Party posted an online image of what appeared to be official campaign signs mentioning transgender rights from Winn Decker, a Democratic state House candidate from Fuquay-Varina running in District 37. Two…
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15.8%median
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.81%median
32%56%
Median 44.81%Middle half 41.53% – 48.24%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.5%median
0%16%
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.55% – 17.65%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.26%median
30%65%
Median 45.26%Middle half 41.89% – 48.21%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions