Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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NC-09 House election: Richard Ojeda vote percent
The odds
46.85%median
34%54%
Median 46.85%Middle half 44.17% – 49.59%
How the odds have moved
Median: 45.21% on Oct 19, 46.85% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 36% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 38% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 40% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 42% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 44% | 77% | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | ||
| At least 46% | 59% | 54¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 15.00 | |
| At least 48% | 39% | 34¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 11.00 | |
| At least 50% | 22% | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | ||
| At least 52% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NC- House, Richard Ojeda
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Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… - Can Democrats compete in deep-red NC districts? Momentum gives some hope as Election Day nearsDemocrats are increasingly confident that they can compete this year for North Carolina seats long been thought to be out of reach for their party — a vibe shift that comes as President Donald Trump’s popularity wanes and as polling…
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Junior commissioners holding candidate forumRRSpin A youth-led Candidates Forum will be held Saturday at 10 a.m. at the Rosenwald School located on the grounds of the 4-H Rural Life Center outside Halifax. The forum will be completely facilitated by the 2026-27 Halifax Junior County… -
North Carolina's 9th congressional district race pits Republican Incumbent Richard Hudson against Democrat Richard OjedaTwo men named Richard, with very different views on how to handle certain governmental issues and policies. The race is an important one, because it's part of the fight for control of congress. One thing the two men have differing views… -
Local candidates discuss local issuesBrunswick County Board of Commissioners candidates (from left) Gary Woods, Randy Thompson, Sara Singer and Patti Hewett during the Oct. 18 Cedar Grove Improvement Association Candidate Forum. Brunswick County Board of Education candidates… -
Trump audio during North Carolina rally sparks ‘cult’ accusationsThe use of audio and music at US president Donald Trump’s rallies has long been a source of controversy, to the extent that many high-profile musicians have spoken out about their songs being used at his events to push his political… -
Fact check: Where candidates Erin Paré and Winn Decker stand on property taxesNorth Carolina voters are being asked on their ballots if they want to require the General Assembly to get involved with local property taxes. But the proposed amendment to the state constitution does not specify exactly how state… -
Dane Scalise’s Fixation on Cultural Wars Undermines HD 20 BidHome » Dane Scalise’s Fixation on Cultural Wars Undermines HD 20 Bid After a little over 3 years as a New Hanover County Commissioner, Republican Dane Scalise is running for NC House District 20. During a period when New Hanover residents… -
District 3 Ed Board candidates on their priorities, concerns and qualificationsWednesday, October 21, 2026 October 21: Uncertainty about when NC12 will re-open on Hatteras/ Currituck Commissioners learn what SNAP changes will cost the county/ And a look at the amazing fall migration of birds across the OBX. NCDOT… -
Battling for NC House seats in Northeastern countiesIn Northeastern North Carolina, several Democrats are seeking to unseat incumbent Republicans in the General Assembly. Alongside focusing on affordability as a campaign issue, these legislative candidates are considering how to… -
Ret. U.S. Army Major Slams Trump For “Salivating Over a Dictator”President Trump gave Newsmax host Rob Finnerty an exclusive interview this week and spoke about the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war. Finnerty told the President: “The war is at a stalemate over the Donbas region, which six years later most… - Fact check: Who placed these trans rights signs? Wake candidate says he didn’tThe Wake County Republican Party posted an online image of what appeared to be official campaign signs mentioning transgender rights from Winn Decker, a Democratic state House candidate from Fuquay-Varina running in District 37. Two…
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Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions