Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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NC-08 House election: Mark Harris vote percent
The odds
56.32%median
48%66%
Median 56.32%Middle half 53.64% – 59.19%
How the odds have moved
Median: 54.86% on Oct 20, 56.32% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 95% | ▼ 1 | 91¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 421 |
| At least 52% | 87% | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 1.2K | |
| At least 54% | 73% | 68¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 200 | |
| At least 56% | 53% | 49¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 400 | |
| At least 58% | 35% | 30¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | ||
| At least 60% | 19% | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 100 | |
| At least 62% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 64% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NC- House, Mark Harris
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Junior commissioners holding candidate forumRRSpin A youth-led Candidates Forum will be held Saturday at 10 a.m. at the Rosenwald School located on the grounds of the 4-H Rural Life Center outside Halifax. The forum will be completely facilitated by the 2026-27 Halifax Junior County… - Press Release: Mark Harris’s PARITY Act Gains Support from Free-Market GroupsRepresentative Harris promotes the PARITY Act, backed by free-market groups, to repeal the Higher Education Act’s 90/10 rule. Harris says PARITY Act is gaining support: Congressman Mark Harris said his PARITY Act is drawing backing from…
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Local candidates discuss local issuesBrunswick County Board of Commissioners candidates (from left) Gary Woods, Randy Thompson, Sara Singer and Patti Hewett during the Oct. 18 Cedar Grove Improvement Association Candidate Forum. Brunswick County Board of Education candidates… -
Trump’s rising star facing MAGA mutiny as ‘livid’ House hardliners turn on him: reportUS Representative Brandon Gill (R-TX) speaks at the Texas Youth Summit ahead of midterm elections in The Woodlands, Texas, US, October 9, 2026. REUTERS/Joel Angel Juarez REFILE - ADDING PARTY-STATE IDENTIFIER A fast-rising favorite of… -
Freedom Caucus Heat Builds Over Gill's Fast RiseSome of Rep. Brandon Gill’s fellow House Freedom Caucus members are privately debating whether the Texas Republican still fits inside the hardline group he once helped fortify. Several Freedom Caucus members told Axios that Gill’s… -
Donald Trump party member reminds Cathy Engelbert of ‘common sense’ after WNBA rejects Enes KanterThe WNBA's final decision on Enes Kanter has led to one Republican Party member taking a shot at Cathy Engelbert. Former NBA center Enes Kanter Freedom's dream of playing in the WNBA has been shattered after the league officially rejected… -
Early Voting Starts in Mecklenburg County With 25 Sites Open for Midterm ElectionNorth Carolina's early voting for the 2026 midterm election began Thursday, Oct. 15 with the opening of 25 voting sites in Mecklenburg County. The 17-day early voting period ends at 3 p.m. on Oct. 31, ahead of Election Day on Tuesday, Nov… -
Fact check: Where candidates Erin Paré and Winn Decker stand on property taxesNorth Carolina voters are being asked on their ballots if they want to require the General Assembly to get involved with local property taxes. But the proposed amendment to the state constitution does not specify exactly how state… -
Dane Scalise’s Fixation on Cultural Wars Undermines HD 20 BidHome » Dane Scalise’s Fixation on Cultural Wars Undermines HD 20 Bid After a little over 3 years as a New Hanover County Commissioner, Republican Dane Scalise is running for NC House District 20. During a period when New Hanover residents… -
Harris’s PARITY Act Garners Support from Coalition of Free-Market OrganizationsWASHINGTON, D.C. — Congressman Mark Harris’s (NC-08) Promoting Access and Revenue Integrity Through Institutional Transparency (PARITY) Act is gaining nationwide support from leading free-market organizations. Consumer Action for a Strong… -
District 3 Ed Board candidates on their priorities, concerns and qualificationsWednesday, October 21, 2026 October 21: Uncertainty about when NC12 will re-open on Hatteras/ Currituck Commissioners learn what SNAP changes will cost the county/ And a look at the amazing fall migration of birds across the OBX. NCDOT… -
House Speaker Mike Johnson draws on faith as he fights to hold the Republican majorityEver the optimist, Speaker Mike Johnson said he believes Republicans will hold on to their U.S. House majority, defying a surge of Democratic momentum in the final stretch of the midterm elections that will determine control of Congress…
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10.72%median
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13.88%median
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Median 45.43%Middle half 41.92% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions