Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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NC-06 House election: Addison McDowell vote percent
The odds
55.03%median
48%66%
Median 55.03%Middle half 52.13% – 57.82%
How the odds have moved
Median: 55.6% on Oct 20, 55.03% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 52% | 76% | 71¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | ||
| At least 54% | 60% | 55¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 3.5K | |
| At least 56% | 41% | ▲ 1 | 36¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 666 |
| At least 58% | 24% | ▲ 1 | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | |
| At least 60% | 13% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | |
| At least 62% | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | |
| At least 64% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NC- House, Addison McDowell
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NC's 6th congressional district race pits republican incumbent Addison McDowell against High Point Mayor Cyril JeffersonNorth Carolina's 6th congressional district race pits republican incumbent Rep. Addison McDowell against democrat Cyril Jefferson, the current mayor of High Point. This race is an important one-- because it's part of the fight for control… -
Williamson County Republican Party partners with Taylor and Hatcher campaigns to host House Majority Whip Tom Emmer for Get Out the Vote rallyRhett Bryan, executive producer of Titans Radio, brought the message of preparation, teamwork and relationships to Williamson Inc.’s Women in Business quarterly luncheon on Tuesday, Oct. 20, at Brentwood United Methodist Church. SPRING… -
Junior commissioners holding candidate forumRRSpin A youth-led Candidates Forum will be held Saturday at 10 a.m. at the Rosenwald School located on the grounds of the 4-H Rural Life Center outside Halifax. The forum will be completely facilitated by the 2026-27 Halifax Junior County… -
Local candidates discuss local issuesBrunswick County Board of Commissioners candidates (from left) Gary Woods, Randy Thompson, Sara Singer and Patti Hewett during the Oct. 18 Cedar Grove Improvement Association Candidate Forum. Brunswick County Board of Education candidates… -
Fact check: Where candidates Erin Paré and Winn Decker stand on property taxesNorth Carolina voters are being asked on their ballots if they want to require the General Assembly to get involved with local property taxes. But the proposed amendment to the state constitution does not specify exactly how state… -
Vice President JD Vance visits Hendersonville to campaign for GOP candidatesHENDERSONVILLE, N.C. (WSPA) — Vice President JD Vance campaigned in Hendersonville on Monday, urging voters to support Republican candidates in North Carolina’s upcoming midterm elections. Vance spoke at a rally alongside Republican… -
Dane Scalise’s Fixation on Cultural Wars Undermines HD 20 BidHome » Dane Scalise’s Fixation on Cultural Wars Undermines HD 20 Bid After a little over 3 years as a New Hanover County Commissioner, Republican Dane Scalise is running for NC House District 20. During a period when New Hanover residents… -
District 3 Ed Board candidates on their priorities, concerns and qualificationsWednesday, October 21, 2026 October 21: Uncertainty about when NC12 will re-open on Hatteras/ Currituck Commissioners learn what SNAP changes will cost the county/ And a look at the amazing fall migration of birds across the OBX. NCDOT… -
Battling for NC House seats in Northeastern countiesIn Northeastern North Carolina, several Democrats are seeking to unseat incumbent Republicans in the General Assembly. Alongside focusing on affordability as a campaign issue, these legislative candidates are considering how to… -
Republican incumbent, Democrat mayor debate Iran war and housing crisis in District 6 raceTriad voters are gearing up to cast their ballots in the 6th Congressional District race, a contest that holds significance in the broader fight for control of the U.S. Congress. The race for North Carolina's District 6 pits Congressman… - Fact check: Who placed these trans rights signs? Wake candidate says he didn’tThe Wake County Republican Party posted an online image of what appeared to be official campaign signs mentioning transgender rights from Winn Decker, a Democratic state House candidate from Fuquay-Varina running in District 37. Two…
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Who will Haywood send to Raleigh for N.C. House?OPEN SEAT — Danny Davis and Jimmy Rogers are campaigning to be the next representative for District 118 after incumbent Mark Pless was beaten in the primary. Serving as a legislator in North Carolina’s House of Representatives is no walk…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions