Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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NC-04 House election: Valerie Foushee vote percent
The odds
77%median
66%84%
Median 77%Middle half 74.75% – 79.19%
How the odds have moved
Median: 76.98% on Oct 20, 77% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 68% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 70% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | 305 | ||
| At least 72% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 290 | |
| At least 74% | 83% | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 2.8K | |
| At least 76% | 63% | 58¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | ||
| At least 78% | 38% | 33¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | ||
| At least 80% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| At least 82% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NC- House, Valerie Foushee
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As AI layoff fears mount, lawmakers weigh a bigger safety net for workersOctober 23, 2026 / 4:05 PM EDT / CBS News As artificial intelligence capabilities improve, many Americans are worried that the technology could one day put them out of work — a possibility more lawmakers in Washington are preparing for… -
Congress Widens Probe into Online Gambling VIP ProgramsCongress is doubling down on its inquiries into how online gambling sites cater to VIP gamblers. Online betting giants, including DraftKings, may have to disclose how they treat high rollers and whether they use AI to tailor perks. The… -
2026 Support Journalism Awards Dinner and Fly-In HighlightsThe 2026 Support Journalism Fly-in, held September 28-30, was our largest fly-in ever, with more than 300 publishers, allied advocates, and friends gathering in Washington, D.C. During the 2026 Support Journalism Awards & Chairman’s… -
Junior commissioners holding candidate forumRRSpin A youth-led Candidates Forum will be held Saturday at 10 a.m. at the Rosenwald School located on the grounds of the 4-H Rural Life Center outside Halifax. The forum will be completely facilitated by the 2026-27 Halifax Junior County… -
Local candidates discuss local issuesBrunswick County Board of Commissioners candidates (from left) Gary Woods, Randy Thompson, Sara Singer and Patti Hewett during the Oct. 18 Cedar Grove Improvement Association Candidate Forum. Brunswick County Board of Education candidates… -
Valerie P. FousheeThe following responses were provided by Valerie Foushee. What do you see as the biggest financial and administrative challenge to implementing the work requirements for Medicaid that were included in the One Big Beautiful Bill? I do not… -
Fact check: Where candidates Erin Paré and Winn Decker stand on property taxesNorth Carolina voters are being asked on their ballots if they want to require the General Assembly to get involved with local property taxes. But the proposed amendment to the state constitution does not specify exactly how state… -
The AI industry’s race for influence includes $100 million in campaign cashLeading AI companies have set up political action committees to support both Republican and Democratic candidates in the midterm elections. The effort by Anthropic and OpenAI comes as Congress faces calls to regulate the industry. There’s… -
Dane Scalise’s Fixation on Cultural Wars Undermines HD 20 BidHome » Dane Scalise’s Fixation on Cultural Wars Undermines HD 20 Bid After a little over 3 years as a New Hanover County Commissioner, Republican Dane Scalise is running for NC House District 20. During a period when New Hanover residents… -
District 3 Ed Board candidates on their priorities, concerns and qualificationsWednesday, October 21, 2026 October 21: Uncertainty about when NC12 will re-open on Hatteras/ Currituck Commissioners learn what SNAP changes will cost the county/ And a look at the amazing fall migration of birds across the OBX. NCDOT… -
Indian-American Republican Challengers Face Huge Campaign Funding Gap Against Ro Khanna, Pramila JayapalWashington, Oct 18: Two Indian-American Republicans are challenging Indian-American Democrats Ro Khanna and Pramila Jayapal for the US House with about $5,000 each in the bank, Federal Election Commission (FEC) filings show, underlining… -
Battling for NC House seats in Northeastern countiesIn Northeastern North Carolina, several Democrats are seeking to unseat incumbent Republicans in the General Assembly. Alongside focusing on affordability as a campaign issue, these legislative candidates are considering how to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions