Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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NC-04 House election: Max Ganorkar vote percent
The odds
22.04%median
14%34%
Median 22.04%Middle half 20.08% – 24.2%
How the odds have moved
Median: 23.77% on Oct 20, 22.04% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 16% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 18% | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 20% | 76% | ▼ 1 | 73¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 4.4K |
| At least 22% | 51% | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 200 | |
| At least 24% | 27% | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | ||
| At least 26% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 28% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 400 | ||
| At least 30% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 810 | ||
| At least 32% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 400 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NC- House, Max Ganorkar
Search ›-
Mahesh (Max) GanorkarGanorkar, 60, a native of India, is a Pittsboro resident who describes himself as a “Tea Party Republican” and “anti-socialist warrior” ran unsuccessfully in the Republican primaries to be on the ballot for U.S. House North Carolina… -
NC GOP nominee for Congress says Trump snub is ‘best endorsement I could get’A Charlotte Republican nominee for Congress says being left off President Donald Trump's list of endorsed North Carolina candidates is the "best endorsement" he could get. — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 22, 2026 Codiga, 29… -
Junior commissioners holding candidate forumRRSpin A youth-led Candidates Forum will be held Saturday at 10 a.m. at the Rosenwald School located on the grounds of the 4-H Rural Life Center outside Halifax. The forum will be completely facilitated by the 2026-27 Halifax Junior County… -
Local candidates discuss local issuesBrunswick County Board of Commissioners candidates (from left) Gary Woods, Randy Thompson, Sara Singer and Patti Hewett during the Oct. 18 Cedar Grove Improvement Association Candidate Forum. Brunswick County Board of Education candidates… -
Fact check: Where candidates Erin Paré and Winn Decker stand on property taxesNorth Carolina voters are being asked on their ballots if they want to require the General Assembly to get involved with local property taxes. But the proposed amendment to the state constitution does not specify exactly how state… -
Dane Scalise’s Fixation on Cultural Wars Undermines HD 20 BidHome » Dane Scalise’s Fixation on Cultural Wars Undermines HD 20 Bid After a little over 3 years as a New Hanover County Commissioner, Republican Dane Scalise is running for NC House District 20. During a period when New Hanover residents… -
District 3 Ed Board candidates on their priorities, concerns and qualificationsWednesday, October 21, 2026 October 21: Uncertainty about when NC12 will re-open on Hatteras/ Currituck Commissioners learn what SNAP changes will cost the county/ And a look at the amazing fall migration of birds across the OBX. NCDOT… -
Indian-American Republican Challengers Face Huge Campaign Funding Gap Against Ro Khanna, Pramila JayapalWashington, Oct 18: Two Indian-American Republicans are challenging Indian-American Democrats Ro Khanna and Pramila Jayapal for the US House with about $5,000 each in the bank, Federal Election Commission (FEC) filings show, underlining… -
Battling for NC House seats in Northeastern countiesIn Northeastern North Carolina, several Democrats are seeking to unseat incumbent Republicans in the General Assembly. Alongside focusing on affordability as a campaign issue, these legislative candidates are considering how to… - Fact check: Who placed these trans rights signs? Wake candidate says he didn’tThe Wake County Republican Party posted an online image of what appeared to be official campaign signs mentioning transgender rights from Winn Decker, a Democratic state House candidate from Fuquay-Varina running in District 37. Two…
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Who will Haywood send to Raleigh for N.C. House?OPEN SEAT — Danny Davis and Jimmy Rogers are campaigning to be the next representative for District 118 after incumbent Mark Pless was beaten in the primary. Serving as a legislator in North Carolina’s House of Representatives is no walk… -
H-1B Row Puts Indian American Republican Candidates In A Political BindWASHINGTON, DC-At least nine Indian American Republicans are on the November 3 ballot, led by Vivek Ramaswamy in the Ohio governor’s race, even as leaders of their own party turn against the H-1B visa program, a pathway long used by Indian…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions