Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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NC-02 House election: Gene Douglass vote percent
The odds
27%median
20%40%
Median 27%Middle half 24.62% – 29.42%
How the odds have moved
Median: 29.76% on Oct 20, 27% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 22% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 24% | 81% | ▲ 1 | 77¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 3.7K |
| At least 26% | 62% | 57¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 5.00 | |
| At least 28% | 39% | 34¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 5.00 | |
| At least 30% | 20% | 15¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 5.00 | |
| At least 32% | 8% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 5.00 |
| At least 34% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 36% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 38% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NC- House, Gene Douglass
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Junior commissioners holding candidate forumRRSpin A youth-led Candidates Forum will be held Saturday at 10 a.m. at the Rosenwald School located on the grounds of the 4-H Rural Life Center outside Halifax. The forum will be completely facilitated by the 2026-27 Halifax Junior County… -
Local candidates discuss local issuesBrunswick County Board of Commissioners candidates (from left) Gary Woods, Randy Thompson, Sara Singer and Patti Hewett during the Oct. 18 Cedar Grove Improvement Association Candidate Forum. Brunswick County Board of Education candidates… -
Fact check: Where candidates Erin Paré and Winn Decker stand on property taxesNorth Carolina voters are being asked on their ballots if they want to require the General Assembly to get involved with local property taxes. But the proposed amendment to the state constitution does not specify exactly how state… -
Dane Scalise’s Fixation on Cultural Wars Undermines HD 20 BidHome » Dane Scalise’s Fixation on Cultural Wars Undermines HD 20 Bid After a little over 3 years as a New Hanover County Commissioner, Republican Dane Scalise is running for NC House District 20. During a period when New Hanover residents… -
District 3 Ed Board candidates on their priorities, concerns and qualificationsWednesday, October 21, 2026 October 21: Uncertainty about when NC12 will re-open on Hatteras/ Currituck Commissioners learn what SNAP changes will cost the county/ And a look at the amazing fall migration of birds across the OBX. NCDOT… -
Battling for NC House seats in Northeastern countiesIn Northeastern North Carolina, several Democrats are seeking to unseat incumbent Republicans in the General Assembly. Alongside focusing on affordability as a campaign issue, these legislative candidates are considering how to… - Fact check: Who placed these trans rights signs? Wake candidate says he didn’tThe Wake County Republican Party posted an online image of what appeared to be official campaign signs mentioning transgender rights from Winn Decker, a Democratic state House candidate from Fuquay-Varina running in District 37. Two…
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Who will Haywood send to Raleigh for N.C. House?OPEN SEAT — Danny Davis and Jimmy Rogers are campaigning to be the next representative for District 118 after incumbent Mark Pless was beaten in the primary. Serving as a legislator in North Carolina’s House of Representatives is no walk… -
The NC House District 1 candidates on the issues, their priorities and their backgroundThursday, October 15, 2026 October 15: All-inclusive “Everyone’s Playground” opens at Kitty Hawk Elementary/ Voice story looks at the candidates for the At-Large seat on the Dare Board of Commissioners/ District Attorney Cruden hopes to… -
The Political Beat Candidate Guide: North Carolina State House District 97North Carolina House District 97 covers Lincoln County, including Lincolnton, Denver and surrounding areas. Heather Rhyne Heather Rhyne. (WSOC.) I just finished my first term in the NC House serving District 97 (Lincoln County) and would… -
The Political Beat Candidate Guide: North Carolina House District 82North Carolina State House District 82 covers parts of the Concord and Harrisburg areas. Republican Brian Echevarria will face Democratic candidate Chris Bishopp in the midterms. Echevarria has not responded to our candidate guide… -
Your guide to the 2026 election in Gaston CountyThe 2026 election features many races, including those for numerous state-level offices, county commissioners, sheriffs, judges and school boards. The Gaston Gazette has compiled Q&As to help you get to know the candidates for local…
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13.88%median
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions