Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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MT-02 House election: Brian Miller vote percent
The odds
34.29%median
28%48%
Median 34.29%Middle half 32% – 36.56%
How the odds have moved
Median: 36.26% on Oct 20, 34.29% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 90% | ▲ 1 | 86¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 1.4K |
| At least 32% | 75% | 71¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 805 | |
| At least 34% | 54% | ▲ 1 | 49¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | |
| At least 36% | 30% | ▲ 1 | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 200 |
| At least 38% | 14% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 2.9K |
| At least 40% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 42% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 44% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 46% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MT- House, Brian Miller
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RAW: MT: HOUSE SPEAKER JOHNSON IN MT/RURAL HEALTHCARELocal 3 News House Speaker Mike Johnson brings national spotlight to Montana GOP races Live cockroaches, spoiled food and glove-changing lead this week's violations Woman killed after being struck by vehicle in Chattanooga; police… -
Democrat Sam Forstag outraises Republican Aaron Flint in western US House districtAs the 2026 election cycle nears its close, campaign spending continues to heat up in Montana’s competitive races. Campaign finance filings through Oct. 14 show Democrat Sam Forstag with a lead in both total fundraising and cash on hand… -
Rod Miller: Partying Like It’s 2026Columnist Rod Miller writes, "GOP chairman Brian Miller and the state Central Committee are sitting on their hands and remaining close-mouthed about Checkgate Becky’s demonstrated RINO-hood. And they have yet to endorse their own nominee… -
Trump stumps for Montana delegation: President talks wildlife gaining weight, handsome guys, ‘Dumbocrat’ competition and 'rigged' electionsPresident Donald Trump made an appearance in Kalispell last Wednesday to stump for candidates running as Republican for the Montana congressional seats on the mid-term ballot. KALISPELL — “USA, USA, USA!” President Donald Trump’s Kalispell… -
Griffo lauds Hochul signing firefighter income tax bill into lawNEW YORK — State Sen. Joseph Griffo has lauded Gov. Kathy Hochul for signing a bill assisting firefighters with an income tax credit into law. “Earlier this month, I was proud to stand with area firefighters and state legislators to push… -
Trevor Funseth and Lela Graham compete for MT House District 21GREAT FALLS — We’re continuing our profiles of local legislative races. When Ed Buttrey lost in the Republican Primary in June for Montana House District 21, it opened the door for new representation in the district. An attorney making his… -
Democrat Brian Miller makes data centers focus of eastern congressional district campaignHELENA — Democratic U.S. House candidate Brian Miller has been working at the law firm Morrison, Sherwood, Wilson, and Deola in downtown Helena for years. He says, even as he makes his daily walk to the office – sometimes accompanied by… -
USA-TRUMP/ZACHARIAMontana Standard Javascript is required to use this website. New White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia holds her first news briefing Tuesday at the White House in Washington. Sheriff: Butte man arrested following standoff on Reynolds… -
Local lawmakers propose changes to mental health careFrom left, Assemblyman Brian Miller, state Sen. Joseph Griffo and Assemblywoman Marianne Buttenschon discuss proposed reforms to New York’s mental health system during a news conference Wednesday in Utica. The plan includes a possible new… -
Montana's eastern congressional race: Challengers face headwinds while Downing in controlEven in a midterm election cycle where a blue wave threatens to bear down on seats not long ago considered solidly red, Montana’s race for the eastern congressional district is playing out without the political intrigue that has captured… - Four candidates vie for Montana's 2nd Congressional District seatThe Ekalaka Eagle Four candidates vie for Montana's 2nd Congressional District seat For a campaign not likely to be that competitive, voters have a wide array of choices in this year's race for Montana's 2nd Congressional District…
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‘Significant challenges’: Griffo, Miller Buttenschon seek first responder helpWHITESBORO, N.Y. – State Sen. Joseph Griffo recently joined Assemblywoman Marianne Buttenschon, Assemblyman Brian Miller and area firefighters to advocate for legislation that would help area fire and police departments retain and recruit…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.48%median
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Median 44.48%Middle half 41.43% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.72%median
0%16%
Median 10.72%Middle half 8.36% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.49% – 17.65%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 41.92% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions