Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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MO-03 House election: Bob Onder vote percent
The odds
59.53%median
48%68%
Median 59.53%Middle half 56.69% – 62.36%
How the odds have moved
Median: 58.66% on Oct 20, 59.53% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 96% | 94¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 1.00 | |
| At least 52% | 96% | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 500 | |
| At least 54% | 91% | 87¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 7.2K | |
| At least 56% | 81% | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | ||
| At least 58% | 65% | 60¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | ||
| At least 60% | 46% | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | ||
| At least 62% | 28% | 23¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 400 | |
| At least 64% | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 200 | |
| At least 66% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MO- House, Bob Onder
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Missouri AFL-CIO recommends NO Vote on Proposition AThe Missouri AFL-CIO is recommending a NO vote on Proposition A, which asks voters whether to uphold or reject the mid-decade congressional redistricting map pushed through by the Republican-led legislature in 2025. Last year, under… -
Nov. 3 election voters guide: Maries, Montgomery and Osage countiesSunny. Highs near 70.. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. KOMU 8 News has compiled a list of candidates and propositions on your Nov. 3 Election Day ballot to help you make informed decisions. Polling places will be open from 6 a.m. to 7… -
Nov. 3 election voters guide: Miller, Moniteau and Morgan countiesSunny. Highs near 70.. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. KOMU 8 News has compiled a list of candidates and propositions on your Nov. 3 Election Day ballot to help you make informed decisions. Polling places will be open from 6 a.m. to 7… -
Nov. 3 election voters guide: Cooper and Howard countiesSunny. Highs near 70.. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. KOMU 8 News has compiled a list of candidates and propositions on your Nov. 3 Election Day ballot to help you make informed decisions. Polling places will be open from 6 a.m. to 7… -
Callaway County Voters Guide: What to know ahead of the Nov. 3 general electionSunny. Highs near 70.. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. KOMU 8 News has compiled a list of candidates and propositions on your Nov. 3 Election Day ballot to help you make informed decisions. Polling places will be open from 6 a.m. to 7… -
Boone County Voters Guide: What to know ahead of the Nov. 3 general electionSunny. Highs near 70.. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. KOMU 8 News has compiled a list of candidates and propositions on your Nov. 3 Election Day ballot to help you make informed decisions. Polling places will be open from 6 a.m. to 7… -
Cole County Voters Guide: What to know ahead of the Nov. 3 general electionSunny. Highs near 70.. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. KOMU 8 News has compiled a list of candidates and propositions on your Nov. 3 Election Day ballot to help you make informed decisions. Polling places will be open from 6 a.m. to 7… -
Onder and Mann square off in 3rd Congressional District rematchSunny. Highs near 70.. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District seat has been held since 2025 by U.S. Rep. Bob Onder, a Republican. This race is in some ways a rematch, with returning Democratic candidate… -
Sullivan County Hospital Leaders Attend Washington Advocacy EventMILAN, Mo. – Representatives of Sullivan County Memorial Hospital joined more than 40 rural hospital leaders from across Missouri for a two-day advocacy event Sept. 29-30 in Washington, D.C. Martha Gragg, CEO of Sullivan County Memorial… -
Onder faces two challengers for 3rd Congressional DistrictIncumbent Rep. Bob Onder will face two challengers – Democrat Bethany Mann and Libertarian Jim Higgins – on Nov. 3 to represent Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District. After a contentious legal battle, the district will follow its 2022…
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Median 45.26%Middle half 41.89% – 48.21%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions