Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MO-03 House election: Bethany Mann vote percent
The odds
39.63%median
32%52%
Median 39.63%Middle half 36.81% – 42.5%
How the odds have moved
Median: 40.54% on Oct 20, 39.63% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 93% | ▲ 1 | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | |
| At least 36% | 82% | ▲ 1 | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | |
| At least 38% | 66% | ▲ 1 | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 3.5K |
| At least 40% | 47% | ▲ 1 | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | |
| At least 42% | 28% | ▲ 1 | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | |
| At least 44% | 14% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | |
| At least 46% | 7% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | |
| At least 48% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 50% | 3% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MO- House, Bethany Mann
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Onder and Mann square off in 3rd Congressional District rematchSunny. Highs near 70.. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District seat has been held since 2025 by U.S. Rep. Bob Onder, a Republican. This race is in some ways a rematch, with returning Democratic candidate… -
Nov. 3 election voters guide: Maries, Montgomery and Osage countiesSunny. Highs near 70.. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. KOMU 8 News has compiled a list of candidates and propositions on your Nov. 3 Election Day ballot to help you make informed decisions. Polling places will be open from 6 a.m. to 7… -
Nov. 3 election voters guide: Cooper and Howard countiesSunny. Highs near 70.. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. KOMU 8 News has compiled a list of candidates and propositions on your Nov. 3 Election Day ballot to help you make informed decisions. Polling places will be open from 6 a.m. to 7… -
Callaway County Voters Guide: What to know ahead of the Nov. 3 general electionSunny. Highs near 70.. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. KOMU 8 News has compiled a list of candidates and propositions on your Nov. 3 Election Day ballot to help you make informed decisions. Polling places will be open from 6 a.m. to 7… -
Nov. 3 election voters guide: Miller, Moniteau and Morgan countiesSunny. Highs near 70.. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. KOMU 8 News has compiled a list of candidates and propositions on your Nov. 3 Election Day ballot to help you make informed decisions. Polling places will be open from 6 a.m. to 7… -
Boone County Voters Guide: What to know ahead of the Nov. 3 general electionSunny. Highs near 70.. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. KOMU 8 News has compiled a list of candidates and propositions on your Nov. 3 Election Day ballot to help you make informed decisions. Polling places will be open from 6 a.m. to 7… -
Cole County Voters Guide: What to know ahead of the Nov. 3 general electionSunny. Highs near 70.. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. KOMU 8 News has compiled a list of candidates and propositions on your Nov. 3 Election Day ballot to help you make informed decisions. Polling places will be open from 6 a.m. to 7… -
Onder faces two challengers for 3rd Congressional DistrictIncumbent Rep. Bob Onder will face two challengers – Democrat Bethany Mann and Libertarian Jim Higgins – on Nov. 3 to represent Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District. After a contentious legal battle, the district will follow its 2022… -
GOP, Dems to host candidate forumsThe first is a town hall-style discussion organized by local … Two events for voters to visit directly with local candidates will be held in advance of the midterm elections on November 3. The first is a town hall-style discussion…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions