Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MO-02 House election: Ann Wagner vote percent
The odds
50.7%median
44%64%
Median 50.7%Middle half 48% – 53.45%
How the odds have moved
Median: 51.54% on Oct 20, 50.7% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 89% | ▲ 1 | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | |
| At least 48% | 75% | ▲ 1 | 71¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 3.1K |
| At least 50% | 57% | ▲ 1 | 53¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 5.00 |
| At least 52% | 37% | ▲ 1 | 33¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | 194 |
| At least 54% | 21% | ▲ 1 | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 1.00 |
| At least 56% | 10% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 20.00 |
| At least 58% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 60% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 2.00 | ||
| At least 62% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 2.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MO- House, Ann Wagner
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Seven-term Congresswoman Ann Wagner locked in tight race with Democrat Fred WellmanST. LOUIS COUNTY, Mo. (First Alert 4) - Tens of thousands in Missouri have already headed to the polls with one congressional race in the St Louis region looking to be a potentially tight matchup. In just two days of early voting in… -
Ann Wagner seeks 8th term in Congress. Opponent calls her a no-show in district.Incumbent Wagner and Democratic challenger Fred Wellman vie for seat from Missouri's Second District, which covers large parts of St. Louis County; Franklin County; and parts of St. Charles and Warren counties. Javascript is required to… -
St. Louis Public Library named 2026 Missouri Library of the Year after tornado recovery workFirst Alert 4 St. Louis Public Library named 2026 Missouri Library of the Year after tornado recovery work Will the St. Louis Metropolitan Police Department be featured in a docuseries? Seven-term Congresswoman Ann Wagner locked in tight… -
I Got My Sample Ballot in the MailBill Seymour always wanted to be a fireman when he grew up, but he never had the vulgate for the firin’, A wires-and-pliers guy by training and first vocation, he has no academic credentials of any consequence; and as is often the case… - Missouri Democrats gain ground in polls, but congressional races remain uphill battles(Missouri Independent) – Missouri Republicans’ advantage among voters has narrowed sharply this year, but that shift may do little to change the state’s congressional delegation on Nov. 3. An August St. Louis University/YouGov survey…
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New Dems look to boost ranks and build cloutThe New Democrat Coalition is already the largest ideological bloc within the House Democratic Caucus with more than 100 members. And Rep. Greg Stanton, who chairs the group’s campaign arm, doesn’t see that changing next year. “We expect… - Press Release: Ann Wagner Announces Federal Funding for Rural Healthcare and Maternal Care in MissouriA Missouri-focused announcement of federal funding to bolster rural healthcare staffing, childcare support, and maternal care training. Missouri rural health funding announced: The Trump Administration said it is awarding more than $2.3…
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Ann Wagner-Fred Wellman is 1 of 8 US House races in St. Louis area. Here are the others.Aside from well-publicized Ann Wagner-Fred Wellman contest for U.S. House, races for seven other area Congressional seats will be decided on Nov. 3. Javascript is required to use this website. The dome of the U.S. Capitol is seen in… -
Voters to accept or reject new congressional mapOn Nov. 3, Missourians will decide whether to use a new congressional district map that better favors the Republican Party or continue using the map currently in place. If voters approve Proposition A, Missouri House Bill No. 1 will go… -
Check out the Post-Dispatch voters' guide for the Nov. 3 electionThe St. Louis Post-Dispatch and the League of Women Voters of Metro St. Louis have produced a Voters Guide for the November general election in Missouri. The Post-Dispatch and the League of Women Voters of Metro St. Louis present this… - Smith leads bipartisan group call for certainty in nation’s biofuels industryU.S. Rep. Adrian Smith (R-NE) recently led a bipartisan contingent of 38 of his colleagues in calling on the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) to ensure the nation’s biofuels policy delivers…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions