Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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MO-01 House election: Paul Berry vote percent
The odds
15.35%median
8%28%
Median 15.35%Middle half 13.05% – 17.84%
How the odds have moved
Median: 17.49% on Oct 19, 15.35% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 10% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 12% | 86% | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | ||
| At least 14% | 66% | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 605 | |
| At least 16% | 43% | 38¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 205 | |
| At least 18% | 24% | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| At least 20% | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 200 | |
| At least 22% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | 200 | ||
| At least 24% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 26% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MO- House, Paul Berry
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Friend of Labor Congressman Wesley Bell favored to win in NovemberDemocratic Congressman Wesley Bell of St. Louis County will face Republican Paul Berry III and Libertarian Tom Schmitz on Nov. 3. Bell is finishing his first term in the House after serving as St. Louis County prosecutor and a member of… -
Working Electionskeysnews.com Poll worker Paul Berry mans the ballot dropbox Tuesday at the Supervisor of Elections Office at 5200 College Road. Early voting started this week for the General Election on Nov. 3. Schooner Wharf Bar set to change ownership… - Saturday is Special Town MeetingSpecial Town Meeting is just two days away. Here’s my updated overview of what’s up for a vote. (And some logistics.) Anyone registered to vote in Southborough is welcome to participate in the Town Meetings which serves as the Town’s…
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3 Appointed To Reston Community Center Board Following Public VoteRESTON, VA — Three Reston residents have been appointed to help oversee the Reston Community Center's programs, facilities and finances following a community vote to select members of its governing board. Fairfax County Supervisor Walter…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions