Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MN-06 House election: Tom Emmer vote percent
The odds
56.81%median
48%68%
Median 56.81%Middle half 54.06% – 59.47%
How the odds have moved
Median: 57% on Oct 20, 56.81% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 95% | 92¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 1.3K | |
| At least 52% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 54% | 76% | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 1.5K | |
| At least 56% | 59% | 55¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 6.4K | |
| At least 58% | 38% | 33¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 866 | |
| At least 60% | 21% | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | ||
| At least 62% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 64% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 66% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MN- House, Tom Emmer
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Williamson County Republican Party partners with Taylor and Hatcher campaigns to host House Majority Whip Tom Emmer for Get Out the Vote rallyRhett Bryan, executive producer of Titans Radio, brought the message of preparation, teamwork and relationships to Williamson Inc.’s Women in Business quarterly luncheon on Tuesday, Oct. 20, at Brentwood United Methodist Church. SPRING… -
Majority Whip Emmer says Omar’s ‘days are numbered’ in Congress amid federal scrutinyFox News Majority Whip Emmer says Omar’s ‘days are numbered’ in Congress amid federal scrutiny House Majority Whip Rep. Tom Emmer, R-Minn., comments on DOJ investigations into Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., over potential immigration fraud and… -
Reporter's Notebook: Congress braces for post-election game of musical chairs as leadership battles loomFox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on the Senate failing to advance the CLARITY Act in a procedural vote amid Democratic concerns over ethics provisions in the cryptocurrency legislation on ‘Special Report.’… -
St. Cloud voter explains support for Doug Chapin | OpinionHe is committed to: 1) fighting for good-paying jobs; 2) lowering healthcare costs; 3) saving Social Security; 4) repealing billionaires' tax cuts; and 5) putting guardrails on AI. Noble causes. The opposing candidate to Chapin, Tom Emmer… - As midterms near, Long Island congressional districts seen as key battlegroundsHakeem Jeffries, the House minority leader, speaks during a rally for Democratic candidates at Mirelle's Restaurant in Westbury on Saturday. Credit: Jeff Bachner WESTBURY — Ten days before the midterm elections, national congressional…
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Congressman Emmer raises concerns over Biden administration’s “information collection regime” targeting BTC minersTwo government agencies have begun to collect data from mining firms. House Majority Whip Tom Emmer warned on Feb. 22 that government agencies under the Biden administration are beginning to collect data on Bitcoin mining firms. In a… -
Vote Against SatanAligned With Scripture More Than Usual A Subversive Word - Tony Perkins want pastors to run for political office, but only if they are "aligned with scripture" as Perkins interprets it. - Lorenzo Sewell declares that the "demonic… -
Local EventsRhett Bryan, executive producer of Titans Radio, brought the message of preparation, teamwork and relationships to Williamson Inc.’s Women in Business quarterly luncheon on Tuesday, Oct. 20, at Brentwood United Methodist Church. SPRING… -
Trump’s rising star facing MAGA mutiny as ‘livid’ House hardliners turn on him: reportUS Representative Brandon Gill (R-TX) speaks at the Texas Youth Summit ahead of midterm elections in The Woodlands, Texas, US, October 9, 2026. REUTERS/Joel Angel Juarez REFILE - ADDING PARTY-STATE IDENTIFIER A fast-rising favorite of… -
Tennessee Tech brings 'Tech to You' to Williamson CountyRhett Bryan, executive producer of Titans Radio, brought the message of preparation, teamwork and relationships to Williamson Inc.’s Women in Business quarterly luncheon on Tuesday, Oct. 20, at Brentwood United Methodist Church. SPRING… -
General Federation Women’s Club hosting ‘Bunco for Breasts’ fundraiser Oct. 29Rhett Bryan, executive producer of Titans Radio, brought the message of preparation, teamwork and relationships to Williamson Inc.’s Women in Business quarterly luncheon on Tuesday, Oct. 20, at Brentwood United Methodist Church. SPRING… -
Maga Media Seizes On France Riot FootageConservative television hosts and allies of Donald Trump have turned the upheaval in France into a political scare story for America, using burning streets overseas to warn viewers that similar unrest could soon arrive at home. Ingraham’s…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions