Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
Install
MN-06 House election: Doug Chapin vote percent
The odds
42.26%median
32%52%
Median 42.26%Middle half 39.64% – 45.06%
How the odds have moved
Median: 41.87% on Oct 19, 42.26% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 36% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 38% | 87% | ▲ 1 | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | |
| At least 40% | 73% | ▲ 1 | 68¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | |
| At least 42% | 53% | ▲ 1 | 48¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | |
| At least 44% | 34% | ▲ 1 | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | |
| At least 46% | 18% | ▲ 1 | 13¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | |
| At least 48% | 8% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | |
| At least 50% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MN- House, Doug Chapin
Search ›-
St. Cloud voter explains support for Doug Chapin | OpinionHe is committed to: 1) fighting for good-paying jobs; 2) lowering healthcare costs; 3) saving Social Security; 4) repealing billionaires' tax cuts; and 5) putting guardrails on AI. Noble causes. The opposing candidate to Chapin, Tom Emmer… -
VOTER'S GUIDE: Chapin shares priorities in 6th District congressional raceVoters in Minnesota’s 6th Congressional District will choose between Republican incumbent U.S. Rep. Tom Emmer and DFL challenger Doug Chapin in the Tuesday, Nov. 3, general election. Members of the U.S. House serve two-year terms. The… -
Ilhan Omar's Cover Story May Be Blown: Investigators Find Something Is Strangely 'Missing'When it comes to American politics, the most important things are often what is missing. And in the case of Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-MN), House Oversight Chairman James Comer is pointing to an extraordinary mystery involving a winery, millions… -
Doug Chapin is running for congress against 6th District Congressman Tom EmmerAudacy Condition: Post with Page_List Doug Chapin is running for congress against 6th District Congressman Tom Emmer -
GOP Lawmakers Slammed for Defending Trump Putin Deal, “Russian Stooges”Republican lawmakers Tom Emmer (R-MN) and Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) are facing criticism for defending President Trump’s approach to Russia, with Emmer praising Trump’s controversial Russian diesel deal and Johnson suggesting that NATO… -
Minnesota House 30B: Chad WestbergTown of residence: Elk River Occupation: Small Business Owner Family: Wife: Sarah. Children: Owen, Siri, Leif Campaign social media: Facebook: Chad Westberg for MN House 1. What experience, skills or perspective do you believe best… -
Senate District 30: Eric LuceroAge: No response given City of residence: St. Michael Previous elected offices held: MN Senate, MN House, City Council Previous civic and community involvement: No response given Campaign social media: X = @EricLucero & Facebook =… -
Local candidates speak at voter’s forumLeft to right, Commissioner 4 candidates Drew Scherber and Nadine Schoen and Commissioner 3 candidates Jeanne Holland and Ryan Dunlap spoke at the candidate form. The event was held at STMA Middle School West. Left to right, state senate… -
Letter to the Editor: Vote for Mark Legvold & Ed FellowsCannon Falls Beacon The following statements are my own words and not representative of any group or organization 29, a public meeting hosted by the City of Farmington was held to discuss zoning and ordinances to handle the proposed data… -
Celebrate fall at the Twin Cities Harvest Festival and MazeCBS News Celebrate fall at the Twin Cities Harvest Festival and Maze Teen arrested in Twin Cities highway shooting Protesters rally against St. Paul police drone contract Minneapolis axes plan to close several schools, and more headlines… -
Minnesota’s first widespread frost chance arrives Friday night into Saturday | Oct. 14, 2026CBS News Minnesota’s first widespread frost chance arrives Friday night into Saturday | Oct. 14, 2026 Teen arrested in Twin Cities highway shooting Celebrate fall at the Twin Cities Harvest Festival and Maze Protesters rally against St… -
NEXT Weather: 10 p.m. report for Minnesota on Oct. 13, 2026CBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. NEXT Weather: 10…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 18%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.48%median
36%56%
Median 44.48%Middle half 41.43% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.72%median
0%16%
Median 10.72%Middle half 8.36% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.9% – 17.55%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 42.33% – 48.36%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions