MN-04 House election: Paul Wikstrom vote percent

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $1.9K traded · $1.7K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

28.63%median

18%38%

Median 28.63%Middle half 25.17% – 31.87%

How the odds have moved

Median: 28.63% on Oct 24, 28.63% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
At least 20%	95%	90¢	99¢	$1.01
At least 22%	90%	85¢	95¢	$1.05
At least 24%	82%	77¢	87¢	$1.15
At least 26%	70%	65¢	75¢	$1.33	2.8K
At least 28%	55%	50¢	60¢	$1.67
At least 30%	39%	34¢	44¢	$2.27
At least 32%	24%	19¢	29¢	$3.45
At least 34%	14%	9¢	19¢	$5.26
At least 36%	7%	2¢	12¢	$8.33

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: MN- House, Paul Wikstrom

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Ilhan Omar's Cover Story May Be Blown: Investigators Find Something Is Strangely 'Missing'redstate.com · 6 days agoWhen it comes to American politics, the most important things are often what is missing. And in the case of Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-MN), House Oversight Chairman James Comer is pointing to an extraordinary mystery involving a winery, millions…
Minnesota House 30B: Chad Westberghometownsource.com · 8 days agoTown of residence: Elk River Occupation: Small Business Owner Family: Wife: Sarah. Children: Owen, Siri, Leif Campaign social media: Facebook: Chad Westberg for MN House 1. What experience, skills or perspective do you believe best…
Senate District 30: Eric Lucerohometownsource.com · 8 days agoAge: No response given City of residence: St. Michael Previous elected offices held: MN Senate, MN House, City Council Previous civic and community involvement: No response given Campaign social media: X = @EricLucero & Facebook =…
Meet Paul Wikstrom, candidate for U.S. House in Minnesota's 4th District | WCCO Election GuideCBS News · 12 days agoCBS News October 13, 2026 / 3:26 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota Paul Wikstrom, the Republican nominee in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District, is an engineer. The district covers the St. Paul area. We have yet to receive a 60-second video pitch…
Letter to the Editor: Vote for Mark Legvold & Ed FellowsCannon Falls Beacon · 10 days agoCannon Falls Beacon The following statements are my own words and not representative of any group or organization 29, a public meeting hosted by the City of Farmington was held to discuss zoning and ordinances to handle the proposed data…
Federal agents search Congresswoman's house2 News Nevada · 12 days ago| Videos | 2news.com KTVN Federal officers executed a search warrant early Monday at the Washington, DC-area home of Congresswoman Ilhan Omar (D-MN). House Democratic leaders called the search âdeeply disturbingâ and accused the…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onElections Division, Office of the Secretary of State, St. Paul, MN

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$1.9K (2,768 contracts)

At stake$1.7K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Wikstrom in the 2026 MN-04 House election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions