Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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MN-04 House election: Betty McCollum vote percent
The odds
70.69%median
62%82%
Median 70.69%Middle half 67.25% – 74.09%
How the odds have moved
Median: 71.73% on Oct 20, 70.69% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 64% | 91% | 87¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 2.0K | |
| At least 66% | 83% | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | ||
| At least 68% | 71% | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | ||
| At least 70% | 56% | 51¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | ||
| At least 72% | 40% | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | ||
| At least 74% | 26% | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | ||
| At least 76% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| At least 78% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 80% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MN- House, Betty McCollum
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Jacob Frey, Betty McCollum join Minnesota Dem chorus condemning Piker event‘A voting strategy that relies on excusing hateful rhetoric against Jews should be no more acceptable than a strategy relying on hate against any other community,’ the Minneapolis mayor said in a statement Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey… -
Musk Admits SpaceX Throttled Starlink In Ukraine, Because Kiev Violated Terms Of Service"Ukraine military violated Starlink terms of service and used it for offensive drone strikes to kill people. That loophole was closed last week." Musk's account also sits awkwardly with what he said on Oct. 14. He then wrote that… - McCollum Accuses Hegseth of Blocking European Allies From Sending Missile Interceptors to Ukraine — Warns It “Emboldens Putin’s Aggression”Rep. Betty McCollum (D-Minn.), the ranking member of the House Appropriations Subcommittee on Defense, accused Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on Tuesday of preventing European allies from transferring missile interceptors to Ukraine. She…
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Ilhan Omar's Cover Story May Be Blown: Investigators Find Something Is Strangely 'Missing'When it comes to American politics, the most important things are often what is missing. And in the case of Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-MN), House Oversight Chairman James Comer is pointing to an extraordinary mystery involving a winery, millions… -
This is the secret weapon poised to ‘rein in’ Trump’s worst plansPresident Donald Trump puts his cap back on during a campaign rally at the Majestic Valley Arena in Kalispell, Montana, October 14, 2026. President Donald Trump's chaotic control over the country is poised to hit a serious roadblock if and… -
Minnesota House 30B: Chad WestbergTown of residence: Elk River Occupation: Small Business Owner Family: Wife: Sarah. Children: Owen, Siri, Leif Campaign social media: Facebook: Chad Westberg for MN House 1. What experience, skills or perspective do you believe best… -
Senate District 30: Eric LuceroAge: No response given City of residence: St. Michael Previous elected offices held: MN Senate, MN House, City Council Previous civic and community involvement: No response given Campaign social media: X = @EricLucero & Facebook =… - Rep. Betty McCollum Says Trump and Musk Shut Off Starlink for Ukraine’s Military “While Russia Continues to Attack Civilian Infrastructure” Leaving More Than 600,000 Without PowerNo Defense Department or White House release posted this week responds to McCollum’s statement or confirms a shutoff of Starlink or Starshield for Ukraine’s military. Ukrainian reports of the power outage and the restrictions are on…
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Letter to the Editor: Vote for Mark Legvold & Ed FellowsCannon Falls Beacon The following statements are my own words and not representative of any group or organization 29, a public meeting hosted by the City of Farmington was held to discuss zoning and ordinances to handle the proposed data… -
Federal agents search Congresswoman's house| Videos | 2news.com KTVN Federal officers executed a search warrant early Monday at the Washington, DC-area home of Congresswoman Ilhan Omar (D-MN). House Democratic leaders called the search âdeeply disturbingâ and accused the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions