Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MN-01 House election: Brad Finstad vote percent
The odds
50.46%median
44%62%
Median 50.46%Middle half 48.62% – 52.9%
How the odds have moved
Median: 50.24% on Oct 19, 50.46% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 94% | ▼ 2 | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 48% | 84% | ▼ 3 | 82¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | |
| At least 50% | 56% | ▼ 9 | 51¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 1.5K |
| At least 51% | 43% | ▼ 9 | 38¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 5.00 |
| At least 52% | 34% | ▼ 4 | 33¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 620 |
| At least 54% | 14% | ▼ 2 | 12¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 110 |
| At least 56% | 4% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | $14.29 | 25.00 | |
| At least 58% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 60% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MN- House, Brad Finstad
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Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Mike Johnson asks Trump for more midterm money as Republicans seek to avert disaster in House racesIn the final sprint to the midterms, Speaker Mike Johnson went to President Donald Trump with a crucial ask, according to a person familiar with the exchange. Johnson’s message: Could Trump spare more cash to help House Republicans in this… -
Minnesota 1st congressional district race: Finstad, Johnson ads draw criticismFOX 9's Corin Hoggard fact checks the political ads between Rep. Brad Finstad and Jake Johnson, who are both running for the congressional district one seat. (FOX 9) - The ad war in Minnesota's first congressional district is getting… -
Polls show a tight race between Finstad and Johnson. What do prediction markets say?ROCHESTER — By most traditional measures, the contest between GOP Rep. Brad Finstad and DFL challenger Jake Johnson is a dead-heat. The tightness of the race for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District was underscored earlier this week by a… -
Safety Net or System Change? Minnesota Farmers Weigh Competing VisionsFor southern Minnesota farmers navigating tight margins, high input costs and uncertain commodity markets, the race for the state’s 1st Congressional District offers two different perspectives on how Washington should help rural America… -
Rep. Finstad tours natural gas facility in Oronoco(ABC 6 News) – Congressman Brad Finstad toured Opal Fuels in Oronoco as he continued his campaign and heard calls for clearer policy in the biofuel industry. Finstad visited the company Tuesday with two weeks left on the campaign trail… - Finstad, Johnson outline differing viewpoints ahead of electionU.S. Rep. Brad Finstad has heard the critique from southern Minnesotans constantly. “What’s going on in our state and our politics … this doesn’t feel like our way of life,” the Republican said, referencing the political hotbed Minnesota…
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Endorsement: Johnson promises fresh leadership in 1st DistrictVoters in the 1st Congressional District have a distinct choice of leadership styles to pick from this year, as incumbent Republican Brad Finstad faces a stern challenge from Democrat and first-time candidate Jake Johnson. That’s because… -
Republicans face growing midterm election concerns as new map shows several GOP-held House seats shifting toward Democrats in just one weekRepublicans are facing a fresh warning sign ahead of the midterms, as new election ratings show a number of GOP-held House seats shifting toward Democrats. The latest changes affect races across multiple states, including Iowa… -
Local professor breaks down Minnesota's midterm, from Congress to school fundingWINONA, Minn. (WXOW) — With Election Day approaching, Minnesota voters are preparing to decide several races that could change the balance of political power in the state Legislature and Congress, as shifting voter engagement makes some… -
Deep-red districts are now House battlegrounds. These are the races to watch.As the Nov. 3 midterms draw closer, the political environment appears increasingly favorable for Democrats and grim for Republicans. The battlefield of competitive races is expanding and reaching red districts once considered locks for the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions