Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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MI-13 House election: T.P. Nykoriak vote percent
The odds
24.34%median
16%36%
Median 24.34%Middle half 20.84% – 28.1%
How the odds have moved
Median: 24.46% on Oct 19, 24.34% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 18% | 91% | ▼ 1 | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | |
| At least 20% | 82% | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | ||
| At least 22% | 66% | ▼ 1 | 62¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 205 |
| At least 24% | 53% | ▼ 1 | 48¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | |
| At least 26% | 38% | 34¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 37.00 | |
| At least 28% | 26% | ▼ 1 | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | |
| At least 30% | 16% | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | ||
| At least 32% | 8% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | |
| At least 34% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MI- House, T.P. Nykoriak
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The Metro: Donavan McKinney hopes to inject more humanity in politics“Never fight the urge to give” is the motto driving the Democratic state Representative and Congressional primary winner. State Rep. Donavan McKinney won the Democratic Primary for Michigan's 13th Congressional District, defeating… - Letter to Coast Guard on Screening, Vetting of CCP-Backed Shipping Corporation’s Operations at US Portscustom page title LETTERS Letter to Coast Guard on Screening, Vetting of CCP-Backed Shipping Corporation’s Operations at US Ports Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman John Moolenaar (R-MI), House Committee on…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions