MI-01 House election: Jack Bergman vote percent

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $122 traded · $122 at stake · prices read 6 h ago

The odds

54.36%median
46%68%
Median 54.36%Middle half 51.04% – 57.64%

How the odds have moved

Median: 54.23% on Oct 19, 54.36% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 48% 91% 86¢ 96¢ $1.04
At least 50% 82% 77¢ 86¢ $1.16 150
At least 52% 69% 64¢ 74¢ $1.35
At least 54% 53% 48¢ 58¢ $1.72
At least 56% 37% ▲ 1 32¢ 41¢ $2.44
At least 58% 23% ▲ 1 18¢ 27¢ $3.70
At least 60% 13% ▲ 1 8¢ 17¢ $5.88
At least 62% 6% ▲ 1 2¢ 10¢ $10.00
At least 64% 3% 6¢ $16.67
At least 66% 3% 5¢ $20.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: MI- House, Jack Bergman

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  • Democrats are rallying the troops in Michigan’s solidly Republican 1st Congressional DistrictYahoo News · 18 h agoWhile much of the national attention headed into Election Day is centered around battleground districts in Michigan's Lower Peninsula, Democrats are making a push to flip the state's largest congressional district, which has been solidly…
  • GOP Lawmaker Lives in Home Financed by DonorPolitical Wire · 3 days agoJust dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192 “Rep. Jack Bergman (R-MI) rented a stately home in Washington, D.C., owned for years by one of his top campaign donors who sold the house to the Michigan congressman’s daughter in a favorable…
  • Meet the candidates for Michigan’s 1st Congressional District9and10News.com · 6 days agoTRAVERSE CITY — We’re two weeks away from Election Day, and voters in Northern Michigan’s 1st Congressional District will see a rematch of the 2024 contest. Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman is again facing a challenge from Democrat Callie…
  • First Congresssional District Q & A with Jack BergmanUp North Voice · 12 days agoEditor’s note: We asked the questions below with the following caveats, which were followed by both Jack Bergman and Callie Barr, candidates for Michigan’s First Congressional District: Do not mention your opponent or opposing political…
  • Your Weekly Michigan Political BriefMichigan Advance · 10 days agoCampaign 2026 announcements and endorsements for the week of Oct. 12, 2026 Illustration by States Newsroom Callie Barr, Democratic nominee for Michigan’s 1st Congressional District, outraised incumbent U.S. Rep. Jack Bergman (R-Watermeet)…
  • Letter to Coast Guard on Screening, Vetting of CCP-Backed Shipping Corporation’s Operations at US Portsselectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov · 10 days agocustom page title LETTERS Letter to Coast Guard on Screening, Vetting of CCP-Backed Shipping Corporation’s Operations at US Ports Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman John Moolenaar (R-MI), House Committee on…
  • Barr makes second attempt to win Northern Michigan's seat in CongressWCMU Public Media · 11 days agoEditor's note: This story was produced for the ear and designed to be heard. If you're able, WCMU encourages you to listen to the audio version of this story by clicking the LISTEN button above. This transcript was edited for clarity and…
  • New Dems look to boost ranks and build cloutRoll Call · 11 days agoThe New Democrat Coalition is already the largest ideological bloc within the House Democratic Caucus with more than 100 members. And Rep. Greg Stanton, who chairs the group’s campaign arm, doesn’t see that changing next year. “We expect…
  • AOC storms deep-red Trump country as tight Senate race heads down to the wireRaw Story · 11 days agoA Democratic star is heading into some of Michigan’s most conservative territory to campaign for Abdul El-Sayed to boost his neck-and-neck Senate race against former Republican Rep. Mike Rogers that could decide control of the chamber, and…
  • House Republicans scramble as red seats turn noisyenmnews.com · 12 days agoSome of the safest Republican districts in the country are suddenly looking a lot less sleepy. Those districts, like many others now getting a closer look, have not elected a Democrat in years or even decades. In normal cycles, they are…
  • 'Who's laughing now?' Analyst sees GOP 'bottom' falling out as MAGA seats up for grabsRaw Story · 12 days agoRepublicans accustomed to safe seats are suddenly campaigning hard, and Democrats are chasing House districts that weren’t on their radar when the cycle began, Axios reported on Wednesday. Members like Reps. John McGuire (R-VA) and Lauren…
  • First Congresssional District Q & A with Callie BarrUp North Voice · 12 days agoEditor’s note: We asked the questions below with the following caveats, which were followed by both Callie Barr and Jack Bergman: Do not mention your opponent or opposing political party. Answers will not be edited. Answers are word…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions