Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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ME-01 House election: Ronald Russell vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
35%median
26%44%
Median 35%Middle half 32.47% – 37.61%
How the odds have moved
Median: 35.24% on Oct 20, 35% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 28% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 30% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 32% | 80% | 75¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 200 | |
| At least 34% | 61% | 56¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 4.2K | |
| At least 36% | 40% | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | ||
| At least 38% | 22% | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 200 | |
| At least 40% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 200 | |
| At least 42% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: ME- House, Ronald Russell
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Gov Alia denied me house, annual medical checks – OrtomBenue South 2027: Nelson Alapa, Dave Idoko, Samuel Godday, others declare support for Abba Moro’s re-election ‘Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu Ogenyi 2027: Idoma group endorses Alia for second term… -
State Police Bill: 24 states approve, 12 yet to decideBenue South 2027: Nelson Alapa, Dave Idoko, Samuel Godday, others declare support for Abba Moro’s re-election ‘Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu Ogenyi 2027: Idoma group endorses Alia for second term… -
Nobody fears Peter Obi, He’s no threat to Tinubu — UmahiBenue South 2027: Nelson Alapa, Dave Idoko, Samuel Godday, others declare support for Abba Moro’s re-election ‘Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu Ogenyi 2027: Idoma group endorses Alia for second term… -
Mary Patricia Akut: First Idoma woman to Become Permanent Secretary in NigeriaBenue South 2027: Nelson Alapa, Dave Idoko, Samuel Godday, others declare support for Abba Moro’s re-election ‘Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu Ogenyi 2027: Idoma group endorses Alia for second term… -
Lagos-Calabar coastal highway not land grabbing, Umahi insistsBenue South 2027: Nelson Alapa, Dave Idoko, Samuel Godday, others declare support for Abba Moro’s re-election ‘Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu Ogenyi 2027: Idoma group endorses Alia for second term… -
2027 Elections: Police vow to prevent violence in PlateauBenue South 2027: Nelson Alapa, Dave Idoko, Samuel Godday, others declare support for Abba Moro’s re-election ‘Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu Ogenyi 2027: Idoma group endorses Alia for second term… -
‘Minority plus Minority equals Mumuriti’: Ottah Agbo warns Benue South against supporting PDP, ADC, othersBenue South 2027: Nelson Alapa, Dave Idoko, Samuel Godday, others declare support for Abba Moro’s re-election ‘Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu Ogenyi 2027: Idoma group endorses Alia for second term… - Senate summons Security Chiefs Over 113 deaths in BenueBenue South 2027: Nelson Alapa, Dave Idoko, Samuel Godday, others declare support for Abba Moro’s re-election ‘Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu Ogenyi 2027: Idoma group endorses Alia for second term…
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Benue South 2027: Nelson Alapa, Dave Idoko, Samuel Godday, others declare support for Abba Moro’s re-election?Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu Ogenyi 2027: Idoma group endorses Alia for second term, cites projects in Benue South Benue Deputy Speaker Backs Idoma governorship, says Zone Should Produce Alia’s… -
‘Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu OgenyiBenue South 2027: Nelson Alapa, Dave Idoko, Samuel Godday, others declare support for Abba Moro’s re-election ‘Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu Ogenyi 2027: Idoma group endorses Alia for second term… -
Chellie Pingree’s Portland office gets suspicious letter, prompting FBI responseU.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree’s Portland office received a suspicious letter Monday, the latest in a string of concerning packages that have been sent to members of Congress in recent days. The envelope containing the letter addressed to… -
Mike Johnson: No Lawn Business for MeHouse Speaker Mike Johnson clarified in a weekend interview that he doesn't plan to leave politics for landscaping. In fact, he hopes to remain his party's leader in the... Mike Johnson: No Lawn Business for Me House Speaker Mike Johnson…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions