Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MD-08 House election: Jamie Raskin vote percent
The odds
81.17%median
72%92%
Median 81.17%Middle half 77.5% – 84.25%
How the odds have moved
Median: 82.82% on Oct 20, 81.17% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 74% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 76% | 83% | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 1.0K | |
| At least 78% | 73% | 69¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 5.2K | |
| At least 80% | 61% | 56¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | ||
| At least 82% | 43% | 38¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | ||
| At least 84% | 27% | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | ||
| At least 86% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| At least 88% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 90% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MD- House, Jamie Raskin
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Jamie Raskin Criticizes Elon Musk as a Mere 'Immigrant' with No Interest in the 'Values of Our Country'Democratic Rep. Jamie Raskin of Maryland is casting Elon Musk in the role of a diabolical racist-in-chief who has rejected American values that belong in the custody of liberal Democrats. Musk, who owns Tesla, SpaceX, and X, was born in… -
US Representatives Jamie Raskin and John Mannion rally voters at the Wildcat in Cazenovia for 2026 midtermsUS Representatives Jamie Raskin and John Mannion spoke at the Wildcat Athletic Center in Cazenovia during an Oct. 17 'Get Out the Vote' fundraiser and panel discussion hosted by the Madison County Democratic Committee. US Representatives… -
ELECTION 2026: Heidi Schmidt — MD House of Delegates District 31As part of Eye On Annapolis’ 2026 election coverage, we invited all candidates running in Anne Arundel County races to speak directly to voters in their own words. Candidates were given broad latitude, with a suggested 1,500-word limit… -
MD House candidate still fighting redistricting referendum with appealMaryland’s Most Admired CEOs A candidate for the Maryland House of Delegates filed a last-ditch appeal to the state Supreme Court against the upcoming congressional redistricting referendum, though the attorney general’s office pushed back… -
ELECTION 2026: Joan Barone Cole — MD House of Delegates District 31As part of Eye On Annapolis’ 2026 election coverage, we invited all candidates running in Anne Arundel County races to speak directly to voters in their own words. Candidates were given broad latitude, with a suggested 1,500-word limit… -
DOJ is pressed on its refusal to help state, foreign Epstein investigationsBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. A House Democrat is… -
Raskin: Musk ‘an Immigrant’ ‘Who Never Really Inhaled the Real Values’ of U.S., Trump Admin. ‘Reviles Immigrants’On Thursday’s broadcast of MS NOW’s “The Last Word,” Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-MD) stated that the Trump administration “reviles immigrants” and Elon Musk is “an immigrant who came in, who never really inhaled the real values of our country. …… -
Indian-American Pia Dandiya gets Buttigieg boost in Florida toss-up raceWashington: Former US Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg will campaign on Monday with Indian-American Democrat Pia Dandiya in Florida’s 22nd congressional district, one of the state’s most closely watched House races, Florida Politics… -
Dems Prep Aggressive Congress Agenda, Even as GOP Rejects 'Blue Wave'From healthcare and tariffs to investigations of President Trump, Democrats are preparing an aggressive agenda if they retake Congress. Democrat leaders are reportedly mapping out their first 100 hours and 100 days in power, even as… -
US Midterms 2026: Trump’s Final Two Years On The Line As Democrats Eye Historic Midterm Reckoning, How Can November Contest Change Presidency?Instead of keeping his promise to reduce inflation when he took office, Trump started a new war, and inflation has risen more than expected since he took office, according to reporting by The National News. On four issues tracked by… -
Pete Buttigieg to campaign with Pia Dandiya in CD 22Buttigieg, who served as Transportation Secretary under President Joe Biden, will appear with Dandiya in Plantation for a canvassing launch. Dandiya is running in the battleground Florida’s 22nd Congressional District against Republican… -
Raskin travels the country stumping for fellow Democrats in tougher racesWASHINGTON — Texas. Ohio. Michigan. These are among the more than two dozen states U.S. Rep. Jamie Raskin, D-Md., has traveled to in organizing for fellow Democrats in competitive races this fall. Raskin told Capital News Service Wednesday…
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions