Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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MD-05 House election: Chris Chaffee vote percent
The odds
28.14%median
18%38%
Median 28.14%Middle half 24.8% – 31.64%
How the odds have moved
Median: 29.26% on Oct 20, 28.14% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 20% | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 22% | 89% | 84¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | ||
| At least 24% | 80% | 75¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | ||
| At least 26% | 68% | 63¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 5.9K | |
| At least 28% | 51% | 46¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | ||
| At least 30% | 37% | ▲ 1 | 32¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | |
| At least 32% | 23% | ▲ 1 | 18¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | |
| At least 34% | 13% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | |
| At least 36% | 7% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MD- House, Chris Chaffee
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ELECTION 2026: Heidi Schmidt — MD House of Delegates District 31As part of Eye On Annapolis’ 2026 election coverage, we invited all candidates running in Anne Arundel County races to speak directly to voters in their own words. Candidates were given broad latitude, with a suggested 1,500-word limit… -
MD House candidate still fighting redistricting referendum with appealMaryland’s Most Admired CEOs A candidate for the Maryland House of Delegates filed a last-ditch appeal to the state Supreme Court against the upcoming congressional redistricting referendum, though the attorney general’s office pushed back… -
ELECTION 2026: Joan Barone Cole — MD House of Delegates District 31As part of Eye On Annapolis’ 2026 election coverage, we invited all candidates running in Anne Arundel County races to speak directly to voters in their own words. Candidates were given broad latitude, with a suggested 1,500-word limit… -
As voters choose successor, what Md.’s 5th District is really losing with departure of Steny HoyerFollow WTOP’s team coverage of Election 2026 online, on air at 103.5 FM or on the WTOP News app. Rep. Steny Hoyer took office in the first few months of the Ronald Reagan administration, and over the course of 45 years he gained… -
If elected, Adrian Boafo wants to launch federal investigation into Elon Musk, DOGEWASHINGTON–Over a year after thousands of Marylanders lost their federal jobs, a Democratic candidate for Congress is pledging to launch a federal investigation into Elon Musk and the defunct Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE… -
Baltimore-Area Voters Prepare for Nov. 3 ElectionSeveral races on the November ballot could be of particular interest to Jewish voters in the Baltimore area. One of those is the race to replace longtime U.S. Rep. Steny Hoyer, who has represented Maryland’s 5th Congressional District for… -
How MD distilleries could benefit from Supreme Court review on home distilled spiritsMaryland’s Most Admired CEOs How MD distilleries could benefit from Supreme Court review on home distilled spirits Capital News Service//October 21, 2026// FREDERICK – The Supreme Court is reviewing a Reconstruction-era ban on homemade… -
Shelonda Stokes, Downtown Partnership of Baltimore work to get city ‘where we want her to be’Maryland’s Most Admired CEOs Shelonda Stokes, Downtown Partnership of Baltimore work to get city ‘where we want her to be’ Sloane Brown//October 21, 2026// Shelonda Stokes tells Sloane Brown how the city of Baltimore is not only in her… -
Maryland Appeals Court Upholds Approval of Annapolis City Dock Maritime Welcome CenterThe Appellate Court of Maryland has upheld the Annapolis Historic Preservation Commission’s approval of the Maritime Welcome Center at City Dock, rejecting a legal challenge filed by Historic Annapolis. The October 19th decision affirms a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions