Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
Install
MD-05 House election: Adrian Boafo vote percent
The odds
68.88%median
60%80%
Median 68.88%Middle half 65.9% – 72.09%
How the odds have moved
Median: 68.87% on Oct 19, 68.88% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 62% | 93% | ▲ 1 | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | |
| At least 64% | 85% | ▲ 1 | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | |
| At least 66% | 75% | ▲ 1 | 70¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 200 |
| At least 68% | 57% | ▲ 1 | 53¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | |
| At least 70% | 41% | ▲ 1 | 36¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | |
| At least 72% | 26% | ▲ 1 | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | |
| At least 74% | 14% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | |
| At least 76% | 8% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | |
| At least 78% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MD- House, Adrian Boafo
Search ›-
MD House candidate still fighting redistricting referendum with appealMaryland’s Most Admired CEOs A candidate for the Maryland House of Delegates filed a last-ditch appeal to the state Supreme Court against the upcoming congressional redistricting referendum, though the attorney general’s office pushed back… -
ELECTION 2026: Heidi Schmidt — MD House of Delegates District 31As part of Eye On Annapolis’ 2026 election coverage, we invited all candidates running in Anne Arundel County races to speak directly to voters in their own words. Candidates were given broad latitude, with a suggested 1,500-word limit… -
ELECTION 2026: Joan Barone Cole — MD House of Delegates District 31As part of Eye On Annapolis’ 2026 election coverage, we invited all candidates running in Anne Arundel County races to speak directly to voters in their own words. Candidates were given broad latitude, with a suggested 1,500-word limit… -
Maryland Appeals Court Upholds Approval of Annapolis City Dock Maritime Welcome CenterThe Appellate Court of Maryland has upheld the Annapolis Historic Preservation Commission’s approval of the Maritime Welcome Center at City Dock, rejecting a legal challenge filed by Historic Annapolis. The October 19th decision affirms a… -
Wired Maryland 10/18/2026The Week in the Village Week of October 11—17, 2026 — the Saturday-night countdown of the week‘s biggest Maryland government-relations stories. Counting down the week’s GR stories — with the governor’s old energy aide surfacing at… - AIPAC-Linked Super PAC Spends Millions Against DemocratsThe United Democracy Project, a super PAC affiliated with the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), has reported more than $53 million in independent expenditures this election cycle, with its largest spending effort targeting…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 18%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.55%median
36%56%
Median 44.55%Middle half 41.5% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.49% – 17.65%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 6 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions