Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MD-04 House election: Glenn Ivey vote percent
The odds
89.11%median
80%100%
Median 89.11%Middle half 86.07% – 91.74%
How the odds have moved
Median: 88.86% on Oct 20, 89.11% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 82% | 93% | ▲ 1 | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | |
| At least 84% | 86% | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 200 | |
| At least 86% | 76% | ▲ 1 | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 31.00 |
| At least 88% | 61% | ▲ 1 | 56¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 400 |
| At least 90% | 42% | 37¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 2.7K | |
| At least 92% | 23% | ▲ 1 | 18¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 400 |
| At least 94% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 1.4K | |
| At least 96% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 405 | ||
| At least 98% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MD- House, Glenn Ivey
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Maryland members of Congress, elections officials targeted by suspicious lettersThis article was republished with permission from WTOP’s news partners at Maryland Matters. Read the story at Maryland Matters. Almost every member of Congress from Maryland, as well as the state’s elections office, received ominous… -
A court has temporarily halted plans affecting the Beltsville Agricultural Research Center"When you lose a lot of federal government employees, especially the more senior ones, you're losing a lot of institutional knowledge," said Rep. Glenn Ivey. Terry Gerton There’s a lot going on. When people in your district reach out to… -
ELECTION 2026: Heidi Schmidt — MD House of Delegates District 31As part of Eye On Annapolis’ 2026 election coverage, we invited all candidates running in Anne Arundel County races to speak directly to voters in their own words. Candidates were given broad latitude, with a suggested 1,500-word limit… -
MD House candidate still fighting redistricting referendum with appealMaryland’s Most Admired CEOs A candidate for the Maryland House of Delegates filed a last-ditch appeal to the state Supreme Court against the upcoming congressional redistricting referendum, though the attorney general’s office pushed back… -
ELECTION 2026: Joan Barone Cole — MD House of Delegates District 31As part of Eye On Annapolis’ 2026 election coverage, we invited all candidates running in Anne Arundel County races to speak directly to voters in their own words. Candidates were given broad latitude, with a suggested 1,500-word limit… - Press Release: Glenn Ivey joins advocates on TPS concerns for Salvadoran familiesIvey joined advocates to criticize delayed TPS decisions for Salvadorans and urge legal clarity and permanent relief. Event on TPS for Salvadoran families: Rep. Glenn Ivey joined immigrant advocacy groups, legal organizations, and affected…
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Congressman Glenn Ivey (D-MD), Impacted Families, Legal Experts, and Advocates Sound the Alarm on TPS Legal Limbo Hitting Salvadoran Families1610 Longworth House Office Building, Washington, DC 20515 Email Me (202) 225-8699 For Immediate Release: October 9, 2026 WATCH: Congressman Glenn Ivey (D-MD), Impacted Families, Legal Experts, and Advocates Sound the Alarm on TPS Legal… -
How MD distilleries could benefit from Supreme Court review on home distilled spiritsMaryland’s Most Admired CEOs How MD distilleries could benefit from Supreme Court review on home distilled spirits Capital News Service//October 21, 2026// FREDERICK – The Supreme Court is reviewing a Reconstruction-era ban on homemade… -
Shelonda Stokes, Downtown Partnership of Baltimore work to get city ‘where we want her to be’Maryland’s Most Admired CEOs Shelonda Stokes, Downtown Partnership of Baltimore work to get city ‘where we want her to be’ Sloane Brown//October 21, 2026// Shelonda Stokes tells Sloane Brown how the city of Baltimore is not only in her… -
Maryland Appeals Court Upholds Approval of Annapolis City Dock Maritime Welcome CenterThe Appellate Court of Maryland has upheld the Annapolis Historic Preservation Commission’s approval of the Maritime Welcome Center at City Dock, rejecting a legal challenge filed by Historic Annapolis. The October 19th decision affirms a… - Armenia’s ambassador attends BAPS temple ceremony in WashingtonArmenpress Armenia’s ambassador attends BAPS temple ceremony in Washington Armenia’s Ambassador to the United States Narek Mkrtchyan attended as an honored guest the traditional Bhumi Pujan ceremony marking the groundbreaking and…
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Federal judge blocks Trump administration's effort to close Maryland research centerOctober 14, 2026 / 10:35 PM EDT / CBS Baltimore The Beltsville Agricultural Research Center (BARC) in Prince George's County, Maryland, will remain open for now after a federal judge halted the Trump administration's effort to close the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions