Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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KY-02 House election: Brett Guthrie vote percent
The odds
66.14%median
58%78%
Median 66.14%Middle half 63.53% – 68.69%
How the odds have moved
Median: 66.88% on Oct 19, 66.14% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 95% | 91¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 62% | 87% | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | ||
| At least 64% | 72% | 67¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | ||
| At least 66% | 52% | 47¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 1.2K | |
| At least 68% | 31% | 26¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | ||
| At least 70% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| At least 72% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 74% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 76% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: KY- House, Brett Guthrie
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Alvarado distances himself from Trump on Iran war, tariffs in KY House debate with DemboThe candidates for Central Kentucky's 6th Congressional District held their only debate of the campaign Thursday night, and the surprise of the evening was Republican Ralph Alvarado putting some daylight between himself and Republican… -
KY House District featuring part of Lexington comes down to incumbent, ousted predecessorVoters in Kentucky’s House District 45 should recognize both men running for state representative Nov. 3. There’s the incumbent, freshman state Rep. Adam Moore, D-Lexington, who is finishing a two-year term in Frankfort. And there’s former… -
Press ReleasesCourtesy Call on State Minister for Foreign Affairs HORII Iwao by the U.S. Congressional Staff Delegation Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan Courtesy Call on State Minister for Foreign Affairs HORII Iwao by the U.S. Congressional Staff… - Fundraising Update: Representative Brett Guthrie just disclosed $394.5K of new fundraisingRepresentative Brett Guthrie just disclosed $394.5K of fundraising in a Q3 FEC disclosure filed on October 15th, 2026. This is the 316th most from all Q3 reports we have seen from politicians so far this year. 27.2% came from individual…
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Cunningham visits Las Cruces home health innovatorAccompanied by three senior Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives, Greg Cunningham, the Republican candidate for New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District seat, visited Electronic Caregiver in Las Cruces Oct. 15 to bolster… - Who has Trump endorsed in Kentucky? What to know before NKY rallyPresident Donald Trump is coming to Kentucky on Saturday, Oct. 17, as part of his multi-state "midterm blitz" tour to bolster Republican candidates across the country. Amid dropping approval ratings and concerns of low Republican voter…
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Scalise leads GOP power players into NM as Cunningham makes CD2 pushLAS CRUCES — Republican congressional candidate Greg Cunningham brought some of the most powerful Republicans in the U.S. House to southern New Mexico Thursday, using a Las Cruces campaign event to spotlight rural health care, technology… -
House Majority Leader Scalise stumps for Cunningham in Las CrucesLAS CRUCES – Congressional candidate Greg Cunningham was joined by U.S. Rep. Steve Scalise, R-La., the House majority leader, and other prominent Republicans for a tour of telehealth company Electronic Caregiver and a brief news conference… -
Kentucky voters face U.S. Senate race, constitutional amendment on Nov. 3 ballotBOWLING GREEN, Ky. (WBKO) - Election Day is less than three weeks away, and Kentucky voters will have decisions to make. From an open U.S. Senate seat to a proposed change to the state constitution, there is a lot on the ballot this… -
Guthrie discusses AI, energy costs, rural hospitalsU.S. Congressman Brett Guthrie LaRue County residents’ concerns about energy development, rising costs and the future of rural health care were among issues addressed by U.S. Congressman Brett Guthrie during a recent sit-down with The… -
Heavrin: Kentucky knows how important manufacturing is to a strong economyThe following is an op-ed piece submitted by state Rep. Samara Heavrin. Fortunately, Kentucky has a strong voice in that effort. Congressman Brett Guthrie has long been an advocate for Kentucky manufacturers and workers, and as Chairman of…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions