Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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KY-01 House election: James Comer vote percent
The odds
70.19%median
60%80%
Median 70.19%Middle half 66.85% – 73.62%
How the odds have moved
Median: 70.13% on Oct 19, 70.19% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 62% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 64% | 90% | ▲ 1 | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | |
| At least 66% | 81% | ▲ 1 | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | |
| At least 68% | 68% | ▲ 1 | 63¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 1.2K |
| At least 70% | 52% | ▲ 1 | 47¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | |
| At least 72% | 36% | ▲ 1 | 31¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | |
| At least 74% | 23% | ▲ 1 | 18¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | |
| At least 76% | 13% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | |
| At least 78% | 7% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: KY- House, James Comer
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Winery owned by Ilhan Omar's husband shuttered due to fraud, James Comer saysRep. James Comer, R-Ky., discusses a federal raid on the Washington, D.C. home of Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., amid financial and immigration investigations involving the congresswoman, on ‘Sunday Night in America.’ A winery co-owned by the… -
Alvarado distances himself from Trump on Iran war, tariffs in KY House debate with DemboThe candidates for Central Kentucky's 6th Congressional District held their only debate of the campaign Thursday night, and the surprise of the evening was Republican Ralph Alvarado putting some daylight between himself and Republican… -
Ilhan Omar has been ‘right in the middle’ of Minnesota fraud: Rep James ComerRep. James Comer, R-Ky., discusses a federal raid on the Washington, D.C. home of Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., amid financial and immigration investigations involving the congresswoman, on ‘Sunday Night in America.’ Ilhan Omar has been ‘right… -
Drew Williams on challenging James Comer and his vision for KY-01 ahead of 2026 US midterms: ‘My constituent is my only special interest’John “Drew” Williams is running for the U.S. House of Representatives in Kentucky’s 1st Congressional District, with the midterm election scheduled for November 3. Williams secured the Democratic nomination after being the only candidate… -
DUDE VIDEO – James Comer reveals Ilhan Omar winery was a FRAUD operationRep. James Comer was on with Trey Gowdy last night and revealed that the winery owned by Ilhan Omar's husband was in fact a fraudulent operation, saying that according to the press, barrels were sold to investors without any wine in them… -
Treasury's Do Not Pay covers 99% of programs. The law covers 11(The Center Square) – Treasury screened $3.7 trillion in federal payments through its Do Not Pay system last fiscal year, across nearly every federal program. For all but 11, the law would not let it check a Social Security number. Do Not… -
James Comer: Ilhan Omar’s Winery Sold Empty Barrels of Wine to Investors (VIDEO)Earlier this year, Ilhan Omar’s husband’s questionable California winery LLC was officially dissolved just nine days after she quietly amended her financial disclosures to slash her reported wealth from millions down to peanuts. As The… -
MAGA Inc. has spent $277 million on the midterms; Here’s where the money has goneA late ad blitz targets key Senate and House battlegrounds across the country as Election Day nears. President Trump’s flagship super PAC has spent nearly $277 million since the start of September, ramping up spending to help Republicans… -
James Comer Promises “Smooth Transition” If GOP Loses, House FlipsRep. James Comer, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons On the Fox News show Sunday Night in America, host Trey Gowdy, a former U.S. Representative (R-SC), interviewed House Oversight Committee chairman James Comer (R-KY) and… -
KY House District featuring part of Lexington comes down to incumbent, ousted predecessorVoters in Kentucky’s House District 45 should recognize both men running for state representative Nov. 3. There’s the incumbent, freshman state Rep. Adam Moore, D-Lexington, who is finishing a two-year term in Frankfort. And there’s former… -
Democratic Rep. candidate for Kentucky’s 1st District connects with Hopkinsville voterstodayOctober 23, 2026 124 The race for U.S. Representative of Kentucky’s 1st Congressional District will be on the upcoming general election ballot, and Democratic candidate John “Drew” Williams visited Hopkinsville on Thursday to connect… - News Round Up & CommentFrom Israel to China, from Trump to Talarico, here’s a sample of stories from the first quarter hour of this week’s News Round-Up & Comment: –5 Israeli’s were wounded, including 2 in critical condition, after two terrorists opened fire at…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions