Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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KY-01 House election: Drew Williams vote percent
The odds
29.19%median
20%40%
Median 29.19%Middle half 25.75% – 32.58%
How the odds have moved
Median: 29.19% on Oct 24, 29.19% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 22% | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 24% | 86% | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | ||
| At least 26% | 74% | 69¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | ||
| At least 28% | 60% | 55¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | ||
| At least 30% | 44% | 39¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | ||
| At least 32% | 28% | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 2.6K | |
| At least 34% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| At least 36% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| At least 38% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: KY- House, Drew Williams
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Drew Williams on challenging James Comer and his vision for KY-01 ahead of 2026 US midterms: ‘My constituent is my only special interest’John “Drew” Williams is running for the U.S. House of Representatives in Kentucky’s 1st Congressional District, with the midterm election scheduled for November 3. Williams secured the Democratic nomination after being the only candidate… -
KY House District featuring part of Lexington comes down to incumbent, ousted predecessorVoters in Kentucky’s House District 45 should recognize both men running for state representative Nov. 3. There’s the incumbent, freshman state Rep. Adam Moore, D-Lexington, who is finishing a two-year term in Frankfort. And there’s former… -
2026 General Election: A guide for Christian County votersChristian County voters have several options for casting a ballot in the Nov. 3 general election, which includes races for federal, state and local offices. Voters who are eligible to receive an absentee mail ballot have until Tuesday… -
U.S. senate candidate Charles Booker speaks in MadisonvilleThe Messenger U.S. senate candidate Charles Booker spoke with a crowd in Madisonville on Tuesday afternoon. Charles Booker stands with John "Drew" Williams, candidate for U.S. representative in congress for Kentucky's first district. There… -
Kentucky voters face U.S. Senate race, constitutional amendment on Nov. 3 ballotBOWLING GREEN, Ky. (WBKO) - Election Day is less than three weeks away, and Kentucky voters will have decisions to make. From an open U.S. Senate seat to a proposed change to the state constitution, there is a lot on the ballot this… -
Kentucky Newsmakers 10/11: Candidates for Ky. House District 45: Killian Timoney, Adam MooreWKYT LEXINGTON, Ky. (WKYT) - On the latest edition of Kentucky Newsmakers, WKYT’s Bill Bryant speaks with the candidates for Kentucky’s 45th House District: Republican former Rep. Killian Timoney and Democratic incumbent Rep. Adam Moore… -
2026 Kentucky 1st Congressional District general electionThe election for Kentucky’s 1st Congressional District pits Republican Congressman James Comer against Democrat John “Drew” Williams, a construction worker from Marshall County. The race comes as Comer is reportedly eyeing a run for… - Fact check: Voters fret over inflation. What do Central KY House candidates say?Nearly half of registered voters say the cost of living is their top concern headed into the Nov. 3 midterm elections, according to a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll. U.S. consumer prices increased by an average of 3.4% over the last year. But…
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Locals to voice concerns at 'DeFlock Paducah' event Oct. 25PADUCAH — Jackson Purchase Young Americans for Liberty will partner with Paducah Action to host a 'DeFlock Paducah' town hall event at Paducah Beer Werks. According to an event flyer, the town hall will be held at 5 p.m. on Sunday, Oct… - Who's running for Congress in KY? Meet candidates in 2026 electionU.S. Senate | U.S. House | Kentucky Senate | Kentucky House | Louisville mayor | Louisville Metro Council | Jefferson County Board of Education | Jefferson County sheriff | Jefferson County offices | Jefferson County District Court judges…
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Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions