Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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KS-04 House election: Ron Estes vote percent
The odds
57.15%median
50%70%
Median 57.15%Middle half 54.41% – 59.83%
How the odds have moved
Median: 57.15% on Oct 25, 57.15% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 91% | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | ||
| At least 54% | 79% | 74¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | ||
| At least 56% | 62% | 57¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | ||
| At least 58% | 42% | 37¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | ||
| At least 60% | 24% | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| At least 62% | 10% | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 7.00 | |
| At least 64% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 8.00 | ||
| At least 66% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 68% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: KS- House, Ron Estes
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Voter guide: Where congressional candidates stand on Iran, immigration, cost of livingTwo candidates have filed to run against U.S. Congressman Ron Estes, a Wichita Republican, in the Wichita-area 4th District — a Democrat and a Libertarian. Estes faces challenger Democrat Katy Tyndell, a Wichita lawyer, and Libertarian… - Here are the walk-up songs Kansas Republicans used at Trump’s rally for Sen. MarshallThe man of the hour, U.S. Sen. Roger Marshall, walked out onto the stage of Heartland Credit Union Arena Monday night to Chuck Berry’s rock ‘n’ roll standard, “Johnny B Goode,” a song with a Missouri twist. Berry, born and raised in St…
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Trump's mid-term rally outside Wichita draws supporters and opponentsPresident Trump's campaign rally outside Wichita drew several thousand people Monday, as the president urged voters to show up for Republican candidates on Election Day. Rock guitarist Ted Nugent, a longtime supporter of the president, was… -
Trump visits Kansas for first time in a decade, rallies support for GOP candidatesLong lines, devoted supporters and passionate protestors surrounded Heartland Credit Union Arena in preparation for a rally for Roger Marshall. President Trump came to Kansas to boost support for Republican senator Marshall’s election… - President Trump visits Kansas for campaign rally in support of Roger MarshallWICHITA, Kan. (KWCH) - As election day draws closer, candidates across Kansas are making their final pushes to sell themselves to the Sunflower State. Senator Roger Marshall is no different. President Donald Trump paid a visit to Park City…
- Decision 2026: The race for Atchison Co Commission & KS House District 63 highlighted in live, on-air forumsPosted October 17, 2026 09:18am by Brian Hagen (KAIR)--With early voting beginning Monday, October 19, KAIR 93.7 FM has completed a series of live candidate forums, giving voters an opportunity to hear directly from those seeking seats on…
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Democratic voter-registration gains outpace Republicans across Kansas districtsAs President Donald Trump heads to Kansas to whip up support for Sen. Roger Marshall, new voter registration data shows enthusiasm for the Republican Party might be slipping. Heading into the 2026 midterms, the Democratic Party gained 551%… -
Ron Estes – Republican for US House, District 4WICHITA, Kan. (KSNW) — KSN News sent a questionnaire to each candidate facing a challenger in the November general election. We have not made any edits to the candidate’s answers. Kansans pay into Social Security their entire working lives… -
Who’s running for Kansas state treasurer? Here’s a guide to the candidatesJuan C. Luengo, an insurance CEO from Overland Park, is his Democratic challenger. Libertarian Eric Lund is also running. Political experience: Johnson was elected to the Kansas House in 2010 and served on budget committees. He was a… - Honeywell Aerospace Adds Innovative Federal Strategies for DefenseHoneywell Aerospace hires Innovative Federal Strategies to lobby on defense and appropriations. Read the filing details and see its lobbying roster today. Honeywell Aerospace Adds Innovative Federal Strategies for Defense Honeywell…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions