Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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KS-03 House election: Sharice Davids vote percent
The odds
59.47%median
50%70%
Median 59.47%Middle half 56.44% – 62.54%
How the odds have moved
Median: 58.82% on Oct 19, 59.47% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 95% | ▼ 1 | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 54% | 90% | ▲ 1 | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | |
| At least 56% | 79% | ▲ 1 | 74¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | |
| At least 58% | 63% | ▲ 1 | 58¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | |
| At least 60% | 46% | ▲ 1 | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | |
| At least 62% | 28% | ▲ 1 | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 15.00 |
| At least 64% | 16% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | |
| At least 66% | 8% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | |
| At least 68% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: KS- House, Sharice Davids
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Rep. Sharice Davids faces Eric Jenkins, Steve Hohe in Kansas' 3rd District Congressional raceU.S. Rep. Sharice Davids is looking to win her fifth term in Congress. Davids, a Democrat, was first elected in 2018 and has won at least 53% of the vote in all four of her congressional races. This year, she faces Republican Eric Jenkins… -
Davids, Kansas Farm Leaders Discuss Protecting North American Trade, Fighting Tariffs, Supporting Rural CommunitiesRepresentative Sharice Davids | (.gov) Davids, Kansas Farm Leaders Discuss Protecting North American Trade, Fighting Tariffs, Supporting Rural Communities OLATHE, KS — Today, Representative Sharice Davids joined Kansas farmers… -
Davids, Local Leaders Celebrate Completion of Multi-Decade Turkey Creek Flood Control ProjectRepresentative Sharice Davids | (.gov) Davids, Local Leaders Celebrate Completion of Multi-Decade Turkey Creek Flood Control Project KANSAS CITY, KS — Today, Representative Sharice Davids joined representatives from the U.S. Army Corps of… -
Davids, Local Business Owners Discuss Responsible AI, Industry GrowthRepresentative Sharice Davids | (.gov) Davids, Local Business Owners Discuss Responsible AI, Industry Growth Leading tech executives recently advocated for slowdowns to AI OVERLAND PARK, KC — Today, Representative Sharice Davids joined the… - Fundraising Update: Representative Sharice Davids just disclosed $785.6K of new fundraisingRepresentative Sharice Davids just disclosed $785.6K of fundraising in a Q3 FEC disclosure filed on October 15th, 2026. This is the 144th most from all Q3 reports we have seen from politicians so far this year. 70.2% came from individual…
- Decision 2026: The race for Atchison Co Commission & KS House District 63 highlighted in live, on-air forumsPosted October 17, 2026 09:18am by Brian Hagen (KAIR)--With early voting beginning Monday, October 19, KAIR 93.7 FM has completed a series of live candidate forums, giving voters an opportunity to hear directly from those seeking seats on…
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Democratic voter-registration gains outpace Republicans across Kansas districtsAs President Donald Trump heads to Kansas to whip up support for Sen. Roger Marshall, new voter registration data shows enthusiasm for the Republican Party might be slipping. Heading into the 2026 midterms, the Democratic Party gained 551%… -
INSIGHT KANSAS: Which Kansas Democrats will win?By RUSSELL FOXInsight Kansas Former Governor Kathleen Sebelius once said that in Kansas “Democrats don’t win; Republicans lose.” Given how registered Republicans greatly outnumber registered Democrats throughout the state, that makes… -
U.S. Rep. Sharice Davids deplores ‘for-sake-of-headlines’ ICE raids in KansasU.S. attorney for Kansas asserts misguided rhetoric about ICE stokes fear TOPEKA — U.S. Rep. Sharice Davids said September raids in southwest Kansas by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement damaged the beef and dairy industries and… -
Sharice Davids – Democrat for US House, District 3WICHITA, Kan. (KSNW) — KSN News sent a questionnaire to each candidate facing a challenger in the November general election. We have not made any edits to the candidate’s answers. Biographical Information: Awaiting candidate’s response… -
The elephants in the room President Trump should talk about in Wichita, but won’t | PorterLet’s call Monday’s rally in Wichita what it is: a rescue mission. Because Trump seemingly can’t help being enamored with himself, my bet is on the theater. Trump’s visit to Kansas comes at a critical time for Marshall’s campaign… -
Reps. Smith, Budzinski Lead Letter Urging Support For America’s Biofuel IndustryReps. Smith, Budzinski Lead Letter Urging Support For America?s Biofuel Industry Renewable Energy Magazine In the letter, the lawmakers ask the administration to uphold its commitment to American grown energy by proposing a supplemental…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions