Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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KS-02 House election: Derek Schmidt vote percent
The odds
53.32%median
46%66%
Median 53.32%Middle half 50.52% – 56%
How the odds have moved
Median: 54.71% on Oct 20, 53.32% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 92% | ▲ 1 | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | |
| At least 50% | 79% | ▲ 1 | 75¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | |
| At least 52% | 64% | ▲ 1 | 59¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 20.00 |
| At least 54% | 43% | ▲ 1 | 39¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 5.00 |
| At least 56% | 25% | ▲ 1 | 21¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 2.9K |
| At least 58% | 12% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 5.00 |
| At least 60% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 62% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 64% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: KS- House, Derek Schmidt
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1-on-1 with (R) Derek Schmidt, Kansas 2nd Congressional candidateDerek Schmidt, the Republican candidate for Kansas’ 2nd Congressional District, spoke with KCTV5 sister station WIBW in Topeka ahead of the November general election. KANSAS CITY, Mo. (KCTV) - Derek Schmidt, the Republican candidate for… -
Exclusive / Dems make a Kansas play as GOP eyes a California seatDemocrat Don Coover is down by three points against incumbent Republican Rep. Derek Schmidt, within the 3.9% margin of error, according to Democratic polling conducted in mid-October and shared with Semafor. House Democrats are making a… -
Rep. Derek Schmidt faces Don Coover, John Hauer in Kansas' 2nd Congressional District raceU.S. Rep. Derek Schmidt is looking to win a second term in Congress. Schmidt, a Republican, was first elected in 2024 after serving 12 years as Kansas attorney general. This year, he faces Democrat Don Coover, a veterinarian and rancher… -
The Races I Missed Earlier: Late Breaking Contests #2Read on for more details about each contest. Partisanship: Trump 58.9%, Harris 39.2% Incumbent: Rep. Derek Schmidt (R) Challenger: Don Coover (D) This race received scant national attention before being elevated into the “District in Play”… -
Congressman Derek Schmidt speaks at President Trump's rally, Air Force One arrives in WichitaKWCH Congressman Derek Schmidt speaks at President Trump's rally, Air Force One arrives in Wichita -
Labor secretary visits Topeka manufacturer ahead of Vance rallyTOPEKA, Kan. (WIBW) - U.S. Labor Secretary Keith Sonderling visited Kansas for a roundtable with local business leaders Thursday. Sonderling joined Sen. Roger Marshall, Rep. Derek Schmidt and others at HME Inc. in North Topeka. HME is a… - In Kansas AG’s race, Kobach is pressed for names of 188 priests accused of abuseThe television ad begins with a dark video of an empty swing and the faint sound of children’s voices in the background, then shifts to footage of vacant pews inside a church. After that comes an image of Kansas Attorney General Kris…
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Prince Harry’s Royal Conduct Questioned Over ‘Glossy’ InterviewThe Mississippi attorney general's office had determined that the use of force was justified in the deadly shooting that stemmed from an alleged shoplifting incident. This town 12 miles outside of Atlanta is an entry point for thousands of… -
1-on-1 with (D) Don Coover, Kansas 2nd Congressional District candidateKCTV 1-on-1 with (D) Don Coover, Kansas 2nd Congressional District candidate 1-on-1 with (R) Derek Schmidt, Kansas 2nd Congressional candidate 1-on-1 with (L) John Hauer, Kansas 2nd Congressional District candidate 1-on-1 with (D) Juan… -
1-on-1 with (R) Steven Johnson, Kansas State Treasurer candidateKCTV KANSAS CITY, Mo. (KCTV) - Steven Johnson, the Republican candidate for Kansas Treasurer, spoke with KCTV5 sister station WIBW in Topeka ahead of the November general election. You can watch the full 1-on-1 interview in the video… -
ABC Applauds Call to Expand Renewable Fuel Standard Eligibility for Marine FuelsWASHINGTON – October 19, 2026 – The American Biogas Council (ABC) applauds Congresswoman Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R-Iowa) and six other U.S. Representatives for their letter urging the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to expand… -
Kansas congressional candidates lean on prominent supporters in 2nd District raceGOP’s Derek Schmidt hails Trump, while Democrat Don Coover aligns with former Sen. Jon Tester TOPEKA — Democrat Don Coover and Republican Derek Schmidt stood with partisan allies as their congressional race in Kansas’ 2nd District entered…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions