Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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KS-01 House election: Tracey Mann vote percent
The odds
61.95%median
54%74%
Median 61.95%Middle half 59.31% – 64.53%
How the odds have moved
Median: 61.42% on Oct 20, 61.95% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 94% | 90¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 58% | 86% | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | ||
| At least 60% | 70% | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | ||
| At least 62% | 50% | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | ||
| At least 64% | 29% | 25¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 5.00 | |
| At least 66% | 14% | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 12.00 | |
| At least 68% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | 8.00 | ||
| At least 70% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 72% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: KS- House, Tracey Mann
Search ›-
Tracey Mann’s Rent Is $800 a MonthRep. Tracey Mann (R-KS) pays just $800 per month for rent while he’s in Washington, House records show. The conservative Kansas Republican’s lodging reimbursements show a pattern matching rental rates at the C Street Center, the DC… -
2026 Voter Guide: U.S. House District 1The House of Representatives creates and passes federal laws through 435 voting representatives. Each state is divided into several congressional districts dependent on population with one representative per district. Lawrence is in… -
340B Legislation Delays Drug Industry-Supported Rebate RuleA new bipartisan bill in the U.S. House of Representatives was introduced recently to delay the U.S. Health Resources and Services Administration’s 340B rebate model pilot, which provider groups claim would create serious cashflow and… -
Kansas Democrat connects with voters by pointing out ‘we were all lied to’ on inflation, immigrationShe has traveled more than 35,000 miles as she campaigns in the 1st District, which thanks to GOP gerrymandering now stretches from her home in Lawrence to the western half of the state. She is running against Republican Rep. Tracey Mann… - Decision 2026: The race for Atchison Co Commission & KS House District 63 highlighted in live, on-air forumsPosted October 17, 2026 09:18am by Brian Hagen (KAIR)--With early voting beginning Monday, October 19, KAIR 93.7 FM has completed a series of live candidate forums, giving voters an opportunity to hear directly from those seeking seats on…
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Democratic voter-registration gains outpace Republicans across Kansas districtsAs President Donald Trump heads to Kansas to whip up support for Sen. Roger Marshall, new voter registration data shows enthusiasm for the Republican Party might be slipping. Heading into the 2026 midterms, the Democratic Party gained 551%… -
AHA expresses support for House bill that would delay 340B rebate modelAmerican Hospital Association The legislation would require drugmakers to provide 340B discounts up front at the time of purchase from Jan. 1, 2027, through Dec. 31, 2028, and prohibit use of federal funds to implement the rebate pilot or… -
Kansas Republicans Bring Statewide Tour to SalinaA crowd of about 100 people gathered in Salina Thursday as the Kansas Republican Party brought its statewide “Take Back Kansas 2026 Bus Tour” campaign effort to town. The party is working to build support ahead of the November election… -
Lauren Reinhold says she’ll look beyond party lines to represent Kansas’ 1st DistrictDemocratic U.S. House of Representatives candidate Lauren Reinhold says she isn’t bought into the “really extreme nonsensical views” and is willing to go against her party line if it means improving the lives of Kansans. Running in Kansas’… - Press Release: Debbie Dingell, Colleagues Introduce Bill to Delay 340B Rebate ModelBipartisan bill would delay a 340B rebate model, aiming to reduce provider strain and preserve affordable drug access. Lawmakers introduce bill on 340B rebate model: U.S. Reps. Debbie Dingell, Rob Bresnahan Jr., Tracey Mann and Lois…
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ASI, Members of Congress Support American Sheep ProducersPUBLISHED ON October 13, 2026 The following Members of Congress signed on in bipartisan and bicameral support of the letter: Rep. Mark Amodei (R-NV) Rep. Jodey Arrington (R-TX) Rep. Brian Babin (R-TX) Rep. Jim Baird (R-IN) Rep. Cliff Bentz… -
Bresnahan, Dingell, Mann, and Frankel Introduce Legislation to Delay 340B Rebate Model, Protect Access to Affordable MedicineWASHINGTON, DC: Today, U.S. Representatives Rob Bresnahan, Jr. (PA-08), Debbie Dingell (MI-06), Tracey Mann (KS-01), and Lois Frankel (FL-22) introduced the 340B Rebate Model Delay Act, bipartisan legislation to delay implementation of the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions