Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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KS-01 House election: Lauren Reinhold vote percent
The odds
37.38%median
26%46%
Median 37.38%Middle half 34.73% – 39.95%
How the odds have moved
Median: 37.27% on Oct 19, 37.38% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 28% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 30% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 32% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 34% | 81% | 77¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 5.00 | |
| At least 36% | 65% | 60¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 6.00 | |
| At least 38% | 44% | 39¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | ||
| At least 40% | 25% | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | ||
| At least 42% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 44% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: KS- House, Lauren Reinhold
Search ›-
2026 Voter Guide: U.S. House District 1The House of Representatives creates and passes federal laws through 435 voting representatives. Each state is divided into several congressional districts dependent on population with one representative per district. Lawrence is in… -
Kansas Democrat connects with voters by pointing out ‘we were all lied to’ on inflation, immigrationTOPEKA — Democratic U.S. House candidate Lauren Reinhold says she has found a way to connect with disaffected Republicans and independent voters. She has traveled more than 35,000 miles as she campaigns in the 1st District, which thanks to… - Decision 2026: The race for Atchison Co Commission & KS House District 63 highlighted in live, on-air forumsPosted October 17, 2026 09:18am by Brian Hagen (KAIR)--With early voting beginning Monday, October 19, KAIR 93.7 FM has completed a series of live candidate forums, giving voters an opportunity to hear directly from those seeking seats on…
- Lauren Reinhold says she’ll look beyond party lines to represent Kansas’ 1st DistrictBy Nathan Gaddie Democratic U.S. House of Representatives candidate Lauren Reinhold says she isn’t bought into the “really extreme nonsensical views” and is willing to go against her party line if it means improving the lives of Kansans…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions