Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.14%median
14%34%
Median 28.14%Middle half 25.94% – 30.67%
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IL-14 House election: Lauren Underwood vote percent
The odds
58.56%median
50%70%
Median 58.56%Middle half 55.15% – 61.93%
How the odds have moved
Median: 58.56% on Oct 24, 58.56% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 54% | 83% | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | ||
| At least 56% | 70% | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | ||
| At least 58% | 55% | 50¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | ||
| At least 60% | 39% | 34¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | ||
| At least 62% | 25% | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | ||
| At least 64% | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| At least 66% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 68% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IL- House, Lauren Underwood
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Lauren Underwood, Representative for IllinoisEach day, we invite you to join us in prayer for our national leaders. As mandated by 1 Timothy 2:1-2, we encourage prayer for those in positions of authority. READ MORE Federal Judge Allows North Carolina to Implement Absentee Ballot… -
Mejia Shares a Kean Story at Morris FundraiserMOUNTAIN LAKES - Analilia Mejia is not running against Tom Kean Jr. But she came to Wednesday night's Morris County Democratic fundraiser with a Tom Kean story. Mejia got to the House after winning a special CD-11 election in April. That's… -
Congressional Democrats coming in to stump for Will LawrenceWith less than three weeks to go until the Nov. 3 election, several notable members of Congress are coming into mid-Michigan's 7th District to stump for Democratic nominee Will Lawrence. Lawrence's campaign told the Detroit Free Press that… - Press Release: Lauren Underwood Announces More Than $500,000 in Federal Funding for Northern Illinois ProgramsUnderwood announced over $500,000 in federal funding for Illinois programs supporting child care, youth homelessness, research, and crisis intervention. Funding announcement: Representative Lauren Underwood said she has secured more than…
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Underwood Secures More Than $500,000 in Federal Funding for Child Care, Youth Homelessness, Suicide Prevention, University Research, and More in Northern IllinoisWASHINGTON — This week, Representative Lauren Underwood announced a new round of federal funding she has secured for child care, youth services, university research, and crisis intervention in northern Illinois. As a member of the… -
Reps. Smith, Budzinski Lead Letter Urging Support For America’s Biofuel IndustryReps. Smith, Budzinski Lead Letter Urging Support For America?s Biofuel Industry Renewable Energy Magazine In the letter, the lawmakers ask the administration to uphold its commitment to American grown energy by proposing a supplemental…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions