Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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IL-09 House election: Daniel Biss vote percent
The odds
71.93%median
64%82%
Median 71.93%Middle half 68.5% – 75.31%
How the odds have moved
Median: 72.17% on Oct 19, 71.93% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 66% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 68% | 79% | 74¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | ||
| At least 70% | 65% | 60¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 10.00 | |
| At least 72% | 50% | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | ||
| At least 74% | 34% | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | ||
| At least 76% | 21% | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | ||
| At least 78% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 80% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IL- House, Daniel Biss
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Race To Replace: Mayor Daniel Biss resigns as Illinois’ 9th Congressional District election nearsEvanston Mayor Daniel Biss has resigned. In this week’s episode of Race to Replace, we reflect on Biss’s tenure and what’s next for Evanston. NOAH MAYER: After more than five years in office, Mayor Daniel Biss has resigned. NOAH MAYER… -
'In my heart, I'm a legislator': An exit interview with Daniel BissDaniel Biss began his political career as a legislator, representing Evanston and other surrounding communities in Springfield first as a state representative and then as a state senator. He’s very likely to continue his career as a… -
DOJ allowed to join lawsuit against Evanston reparations program for Black residentsPro-reparations yard signs sit outside homes in Evanston, just over a week after the Evanston City Council approved a first-in-the-nation reparations plan to make amends for historical wrongs against Black residents, Tuesday afternoon… -
‘It Blossoms in the Dark’: Mehdi Hasan Presides Over Anti-AIPAC Event Where Conspiracy Theorists Spun Tales of a Jewish Cabal Plotting World DominationCHICAGO—Mehdi Hasan, the fired MSNBC host who now runs the virulently anti-Israel news startup Zeteo, presided Tuesday over a gathering focused on the malign influence of AIPAC—the pro-Israel American lobbying organization—which is being… -
Grover files petition paperwork in mayor raceFormer Ald. Jane Grover filed petition paperwork Wednesday to get on the ballot for mayor next year, becoming the third candidate, after Jeff Boarini and Stephanie Mendoza to file for the race. Grover, who represented the 7th Ward on the… -
Biss: ‘Bold and ambitious’ agenda needed in CongressTwo weeks from election day, Daniel Biss, now the former mayor of Evanston, cast his vote in Evanston Monday, and headed to Michigan to lend his hand in campaigning for Democrats in tight races. He was going to speak with a group of Jewish… -
Boarini, Mendoza file for top ballot spot in mayor's raceCandidate filing opened at 8:30 a.m. Monday for the 2027 special mayoral election, with candidates Jeff Boarini and City Clerk Stephanie Mendoza showing up in advance to ensure they have a shot at the top spot on the ballot. With Daniel… -
Mendoza, Boarini file petitions for mayorJust after midnight Monday, Daniel Biss time as Evanston’s mayor officially ended. But early this morning at City Hall, the race to replace him officially began. Two mayoral hopefuls filed packets of petition signatures Monday just after… -
Biss bids farewell, capping off 5 years that reshaped EvanstonDaniel Biss resigned as mayor on Sunday, ahead of the upcoming midterm elections in which he is heavily favored to win a seat representing Illinois’ 9th Congressional District. Biss’ resignation ends his five-year tenure as mayor and… -
At latest No Kings rallies, smaller crowds and a ‘vote early’ rallying cryAt intersections in Chicago, Skokie and elsewhere, the protesters held up signs exhorting passersby to vote early, and drivers honked in response. It was a muted Saturday for the No Kings movement, which previously drew larger crowds to… -
Mayoral hopefuls report early donationsThree leaders have emerged in the fundraising race among the six announced candidates in the 2027 Evanston special mayoral election. Of the six candidates who have indicated they will file paperwork, five submitted finance reports this… -
Letters: Criticism of Daniel Biss fails to recognize that the world is not so simpleThe world is not so simple. — Vincent Flood, Evanston Letter writer David L. Blatt takes exception to the Tribune Editorial Board’s endorsement of Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss in the 9th Congressional District to succeed retiring Rep. Jan…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions