Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
Install
IL-08 House election: Melissa Bean vote percent
The odds
59.61%median
48%68%
Median 59.61%Middle half 57.24% – 62.07%
How the odds have moved
Median: 59.57% on Oct 20, 59.61% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 97% | 95¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 417 | |
| At least 52% | 96% | 94¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 435 | |
| At least 54% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 56% | 86% | ▲ 1 | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 800 |
| At least 58% | 69% | ▲ 1 | 64¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | |
| At least 60% | 46% | ▲ 1 | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | |
| At least 62% | 26% | ▲ 1 | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | |
| At least 64% | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | ||
| At least 66% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IL- House, Melissa Bean
Search ›-
Here are 9 races to watch in Illinois, Wisconsin and Indiana in midterm electionVoting booths at a polling location at the Thomasville Library during the last day of early voting in Thomasville, North Carolina, US, on Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024. The 2026 midterm elections are shaping up to be a hugely consequential battle… -
Full interview with Melissa Bean, candidate for Illinois 8th Congressional DistrictCBS News Full interview with Melissa Bean, candidate for Illinois 8th Congressional District Cook County Clerk hosts "Love Purse" drive for domestic violence survivors Raja Krishnamoorthi says Palatine mass shooting plot suspect targeted… -
Race for Congress: Melissa Bean vs. Jennifer Davis in Illinois' 8th DistrictCBS News Race for Congress: Melissa Bean vs. Jennifer Davis in Illinois' 8th District Flock cameras removed from Elgin Community College campus Bend, Oregon shooting at Silver Rail Elementary School leaves several dead, sources say Pullman… -
Former U.S. Rep. Melissa Bean seeks return to Congress in race vs. Republican Jennifer DavisOctober 15, 2026 / 5:25 PM CDT / CBS Chicago With U.S. Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi (D-Illinois) stepping down at the end of his term following a failed bid for the Senate, former U.S. Rep. Melissa Bean is looking to return to the seat she… -
Flock cameras removed from Elgin Community College campusCBS News Flock cameras removed from Elgin Community College campus 3 children, 1 adult killed in shooting at elementary school in Bend, Oregon Cook County Clerk hosts "Love Purse" drive for domestic violence survivors Raja Krishnamoorthi… -
Pullman Innovations animal feed plant ordered to temporarily shut down amid lawsuit over foul odorsCBS News Pullman Innovations animal feed plant ordered to temporarily shut down amid lawsuit over foul odors 3 children, 1 adult killed in shooting at elementary school in Bend, Oregon Cook County Clerk hosts "Love Purse" drive for… -
Cook County Clerk hosts "Love Purse" drive for domestic violence survivorsHundreds of donated purses will soon be in the hands of domestic violence survivors across Cook County. The purses are essentially care packages collected by staff at the Cook County Clerk's Office for the annual "Love Purse" drive. Cook… -
Raja Krishnamoorthi says Palatine mass shooting plot suspect targeted his templeCBS News Raja Krishnamoorthi says Palatine mass shooting plot suspect targeted his temple 3 children, 1 adult killed in shooting at elementary school in Bend, Oregon Cook County Clerk hosts "Love Purse" drive for domestic violence… -
Full interview with Jennifer Davis, candidate for Illinois 8th Congressional DistrictCBS News Full interview with Jennifer Davis, candidate for Illinois 8th Congressional District Cook County Clerk hosts "Love Purse" drive for domestic violence survivors Raja Krishnamoorthi says Palatine mass shooting plot suspect targeted… -
Woman charged in deadly 2024 hit-and-run in Rogers ParkCBS News Woman charged in deadly 2024 hit-and-run in Rogers Park Cook County Clerk hosts "Love Purse" drive for domestic violence survivors Raja Krishnamoorthi says Palatine mass shooting plot suspect targeted his temple Chicago weather… -
Chicago weather: lingering rain overnight, gusty showers on FridayCBS News Chicago weather: lingering rain overnight, gusty showers on Friday Cook County Clerk hosts "Love Purse" drive for domestic violence survivors Raja Krishnamoorthi says Palatine mass shooting plot suspect targeted his temple Race… -
Six Flags Over Georgia to reopen after deadly fall from Goliath roller coasterCBS News Six Flags Over Georgia to reopen after deadly fall from Goliath roller coaster Raja Krishnamoorthi says Palatine mass shooting plot suspect targeted his temple Chicago weather: lingering rain overnight, gusty showers on Friday…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 18%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.48%median
36%56%
Median 44.48%Middle half 41.43% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.72%median
0%16%
Median 10.72%Middle half 8.36% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.9% – 17.55%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 42.33% – 48.36%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions