Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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IL-07 House election: La Shawn Ford vote percent
The odds
84.85%median
76%94%
Median 84.85%Middle half 81.92% – 87.42%
How the odds have moved
Median: 85.01% on Oct 20, 84.85% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 78% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 80% | 87% | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 500 | |
| At least 82% | 75% | 70¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 1.3K | |
| At least 84% | 59% | 54¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | ||
| At least 86% | 39% | 34¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | ||
| At least 88% | 20% | 15¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | ||
| At least 90% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 92% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: La Shawn Ford, IL- House
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Full interview with La Shawn Ford, candidate for Illinois' 7th Congressional DistrictCBS News Full interview with La Shawn Ford, candidate for Illinois' 7th Congressional District North Central College to change name to North Central University Naperville Lawsuit details alleged rape of woman at UChicago frat house in… -
Race for Congress: La Shawn Ford vs Chad Koppie in Illinois' 7th DistrictCBS News Race for Congress: La Shawn Ford vs Chad Koppie in Illinois' 7th District Aurora drug bust leads to seizure of cocaine, cannabis, cash More Americans choosing to stay home for holidays due to rising travel costs Researcher… -
7th District race in Illinois pits state Rep. La Shawn Ford against perennial candidate Chad KoppieOctober 20, 2026 / 5:43 PM CDT / CBS Chicago As longtime Democratic U.S. Rep. Danny Davis prepares to retire at the end of his term, a veteran Illinois state lawmaker is hoping to take over the seat in November's election, and is facing… -
AIPAC to end candidate endorsements after 2026 election cycleCHICAGO: The American Israel Public Affairs Committee is changing the way it participates in US elections, announcing that it will stop formally endorsing candidates, making direct contributions through its political action committee and… -
Pro-Israel lobby group AIPAC reverses policy of identifying US election candidates it fundsCHICAGO: In a move reflecting significant backlash against the growing involvement of pro-Israel political action campaign money, the leading pro-Israel lobbying organization in the US, AIPAC, has reversed its 2021 policy of publicly… -
Wounded Ukrainian soldier evacuated from battlefield by droneCBS News Wounded Ukrainian soldier evacuated from battlefield by drone 3 things learned at Halas Hall: Injury updates ahead of Bears-Patriots game North Central College to change name to North Central University Naperville UIC report puts… -
Pritzker talks AI, data centers, and privacy on "The Verge" podcastCBS News Pritzker talks AI, data centers, and privacy on "The Verge" podcast North Central College to change name to North Central University Naperville UIC report puts $1 billion price tag on recidivism in North Lawndale Lawsuit details… -
Suspect in custody after authorities said he fired shots near Kluczynski Federal BuildingCBS News Suspect in custody after authorities said he fired shots near Kluczynski Federal Building North Central College to change name to North Central University Naperville UIC report puts $1 billion price tag on recidivism in North… -
Amazon hiring 300,000 seasonal workers for holidaysCBS News Amazon hiring 300,000 seasonal workers for holidays North Central College to change name to North Central University Naperville UIC report puts $1 billion price tag on recidivism in North Lawndale Lawsuit details alleged rape of… -
North Central College to change name to North Central University NapervilleCBS News North Central College to change name to North Central University Naperville UIC report puts $1 billion price tag on recidivism in North Lawndale Lawsuit details alleged rape of woman at UChicago frat house in February Japan… -
UIC report puts $1 billion price tag on recidivism in North LawndaleCBS News UIC report puts $1 billion price tag on recidivism in North Lawndale North Central College to change name to North Central University Naperville Lawsuit details alleged rape of woman at UChicago frat house in February Japan… -
Full interview with Chad Koppie, candidate for Illinois' 7th Congressional DistrictCBS News Full interview with Chad Koppie, candidate for Illinois' 7th Congressional District North Central College to change name to North Central University Naperville Lawsuit details alleged rape of woman at UChicago frat house in…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.86%median
8%28%
Median 15.86%Middle half 14.14% – 18%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.55%median
36%56%
Median 44.55%Middle half 41.5% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.49% – 17.65%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions