Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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IL-07 House election: Chad Koppie vote percent
The odds
14.17%median
6%24%
Median 14.17%Middle half 11.71% – 17.13%
How the odds have moved
Median: 15.61% on Oct 20, 14.17% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 8% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 10% | 90% | ▼ 1 | 87¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 1.2K |
| At least 12% | 73% | 68¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | ||
| At least 14% | 52% | 47¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | ||
| At least 16% | 34% | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | ||
| At least 18% | 19% | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | ||
| At least 20% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 22% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IL- House, Chad Koppie
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Full interview with Chad Koppie, candidate for Illinois' 7th Congressional DistrictCBS News Full interview with Chad Koppie, candidate for Illinois' 7th Congressional District North Central College to change name to North Central University Naperville Lawsuit details alleged rape of woman at UChicago frat house in… -
Race for Congress: La Shawn Ford vs Chad Koppie in Illinois' 7th DistrictCBS News Race for Congress: La Shawn Ford vs Chad Koppie in Illinois' 7th District Aurora drug bust leads to seizure of cocaine, cannabis, cash More Americans choosing to stay home for holidays due to rising travel costs Researcher… -
7th District race in Illinois pits state Rep. La Shawn Ford against perennial candidate Chad KoppieOctober 20, 2026 / 5:43 PM CDT / CBS Chicago As longtime Democratic U.S. Rep. Danny Davis prepares to retire at the end of his term, a veteran Illinois state lawmaker is hoping to take over the seat in November's election, and is facing… -
Wounded Ukrainian soldier evacuated from battlefield by droneCBS News Wounded Ukrainian soldier evacuated from battlefield by drone 3 things learned at Halas Hall: Injury updates ahead of Bears-Patriots game North Central College to change name to North Central University Naperville UIC report puts… -
North Central College to change name to North Central University NapervilleCBS News North Central College to change name to North Central University Naperville UIC report puts $1 billion price tag on recidivism in North Lawndale Lawsuit details alleged rape of woman at UChicago frat house in February Japan… -
Amazon hiring 300,000 seasonal workers for holidaysCBS News Amazon hiring 300,000 seasonal workers for holidays North Central College to change name to North Central University Naperville UIC report puts $1 billion price tag on recidivism in North Lawndale Lawsuit details alleged rape of… -
Pritzker talks AI, data centers, and privacy on "The Verge" podcastCBS News Pritzker talks AI, data centers, and privacy on "The Verge" podcast North Central College to change name to North Central University Naperville UIC report puts $1 billion price tag on recidivism in North Lawndale Lawsuit details… -
Suspect in custody after authorities said he fired shots near Kluczynski Federal BuildingCBS News Suspect in custody after authorities said he fired shots near Kluczynski Federal Building North Central College to change name to North Central University Naperville UIC report puts $1 billion price tag on recidivism in North… -
UIC report puts $1 billion price tag on recidivism in North LawndaleCBS News UIC report puts $1 billion price tag on recidivism in North Lawndale North Central College to change name to North Central University Naperville Lawsuit details alleged rape of woman at UChicago frat house in February Japan… -
2 studies look at health benefits of blueberries, cranberriesCBS News 2 studies look at health benefits of blueberries, cranberries Pat Brady weighs in on Stratton, Tracy Illinois U.S. Senate debate Gradual warmth continues Wednesday in Chicago St. Charles North High School girls flag football team… -
St. Charles North High School girls flag football team ends season undefeatedCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. St. Charles North High… -
Wars in Ukraine and Iran dragging down GOP support ahead of midtermsCBS News Wars in Ukraine and Iran dragging down GOP support ahead of midterms North Central College to change name to North Central University Naperville UIC report puts $1 billion price tag on recidivism in North Lawndale Lawsuit details…
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
45.8%median
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10.45%median
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.67%median
7%40%
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.5%median
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Median 45.5%Middle half 42.33% – 48.36%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions