Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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IL-05 House election: Mike Quigley vote percent
The odds
71.38%median
62%82%
Median 71.38%Middle half 68.76% – 73.85%
How the odds have moved
Median: 70.39% on Oct 19, 71.38% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 64% | 96% | 94¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 66% | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 68% | 82% | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | ||
| At least 70% | 65% | 60¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | ||
| At least 72% | 44% | 39¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | ||
| At least 74% | 24% | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| At least 76% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 78% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 80% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IL- House, Mike Quigley
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Suspicious packages prompt hazmat responses at Schakowsky's and Quigley's officesSuspicious packages delivered to U.S. Rep. Jan Schakowsky's office in Skokie and U.S. Rep. Mike Quigley's office in Chicago prompted hazardous materials responses on Wednesday. It was the second such incident for both lawmakers in the past… -
Mayor Brandon Johnson turns in signatures for 2027 mayoral race, skipping lotteries for ballot spotsMayor Brandon Johnson submitted his election nominating petitions Friday, ceding the lottery for the last spot on the 2027 ballot to challengers in a surprise move he said proves how confident he is. Lugging in about 33,000 signatures on a… -
13 US Lawmakers Press Meta on Brazil VoteRead our Brazil election 2026 runoff guide → Brazil election 2026 · Brazil election polls · Who will win: Brazil election odds · Brazil runoff date and results start · Brazil election results · Brazil election poll data (CSV) · All… -
Jayapal, Sanders Question Zuckerberg Over Alleged Meta Interference in Brazilian ElectionSupporters of Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva hold masks depicting Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg with red horns during a demonstration in front of Meta's headquarters in São Paulo, Brazil, on October 19, 2026. "It is unacceptable… -
Jayapal, Sanders Demand Answers on Meta’s Potential Interference in Brazilian Elections“With Brazil’s runoff elections occurring in less than a week, we call for further clarification of these ‘measures’ and urge additional action to ensure that, going forward, candidates in democratic elections at home and abroad benefit… -
Schakowsky’s Skokie office evacuated following delivery of suspicious letterThe Skokie Police Department and Capitol Police responded to reports of a suspicious letter sent to U.S. Rep. Jan Schakowsky’s (D-Evanston) Skokie office Wednesday, according to a news release from the congressperson. Once staff noticed… -
2nd Suspicious Package Sent To Quigley's Chicago Office In A WeekCHICAGO — U.S. Rep. Mike Quigley's Chicago office received a second suspicious package Wednesday afternoon, five days after an earlier mailing prompted staff to evacuate as a precaution. Quigley said his office notified the Chicago Police… -
2 Chicago area members of Congress again received 'suspicious' packagesU.S. Rep. Jan Schakowsky is among several members of Congress who have received suspicious letters ahead of the midterm elections. U.S. Reps. Jan Schakowsky and Mike Quigley on Wednesday said their offices have both independently received… -
Tommy Hanson: Illinois 5th Congressional District Candidate ProfileCHICAGO — Tommy Hanson, a Chicago Republican who works in commercial and residential real estate, is challenging Democratic incumbent U.S. Rep. Mike Quigley in Illinois' 5th Congressional District in the Nov. 3 election. In his responses… -
Lawmakers get first look at whistleblower complaint and one calls it "nothing short of explosive"Updated on: September 26, 2019 / 2:02 AM EDT / CBS News The office of the director of national intelligence gave lawmakers access to a whistleblower complaint that includes President Trump's conversation with the Ukrainian president on… - Will Wyoming’s Next Congressman Sleep In His Office?Members of Congress must keep a home in the district they serve, and they must be in Washington, D.C., for almost half of the year. That can be expensive for someone making $174K a year. A basic one-bedroom apartment in Washington, DC…
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Ukrainians in U.S. protest easing of sanctions on Russian diesel fuelThe protests were reported by Vilni Media, Ukrinform says. Participants called on the U.S. government not to ease economic pressure on Moscow, to preserve military communications and intelligence support critical to Ukraine, and to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions