Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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IL-02 House election: Donna Miller vote percent
The odds
70.13%median
62%80%
Median 70.13%Middle half 66.71% – 73.62%
How the odds have moved
Median: 70.19% on Oct 24, 70.13% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 64% | 89% | 84¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | ||
| At least 66% | 80% | 75¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | ||
| At least 68% | 66% | 61¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | ||
| At least 70% | 51% | 46¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | ||
| At least 72% | 36% | ▲ 1 | 31¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | |
| At least 74% | 23% | ▲ 1 | 18¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | |
| At least 76% | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| At least 78% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IL- House, Donna Miller
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Illinois 2nd District race: Democrat Donna Miller aims to succeed Robin Kelly — and stay for yearsFor the first time in more than a decade, no incumbent is running in Illinois’ 2nd Congressional District. And before current U.S. Rep. Robin Kelly was elected in 2013, the district had a string of representatives whose careers ended in… -
Illinois' 2nd Congressional District candidates make cases to voters ahead of Election DayKANKAKEE, Ill. (WLS) -- Illinois' 2nd Congressional District is diverse in many ways. It runs south from Chicago's South Side through the south suburbs to Kankakee and to Danville. It has been represented by Democrat Robin Kelly since… -
Election 2026: U.S. Representative 2nd Congressional District Candidate Donna MillerThree will contend for the U.S. Representatives 2nd Congressional District in the Nov. 3 General Election. The seat was vacated by Robin Kelly, who held it since 2013. Kelly leaves it in her bid to replace outgoing Sen. Dick Durbin… -
County, state elected officials advocate for income tax surcharge ballot questionHF Chronicle More in Local News: Cook County and state elected leaders held a news conference on Tuesday, Oct. 13, to highlight the “Millionaire Amendment” on the Nov. 3 ballot. The referendum asks Cook County voters whether Illinois… -
Chicago Heights 2026 Voter Guide: Everything You Need To KnowCHICAGO HEIGHTS, IL — The Nov. 3 General Election is less than a month away, and will include the gubernatorial race, as well as various county races, sheriff, assessor and more. Early voting has already kicked off across the Chicago area… - Homewood-Flossmoor 2026 Voter Guide: Everything You Need To KnowHOMEWOOD-FLOSSMOOR, IL — The Nov. 3 General Election is less than a month away, and will include the gubernatorial race, as well as various county races, sheriff, assessor and more. Early voting has already kicked off across the Chicago…
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Early voting underway in Chicago for Midterm ElectionsEarly voting is underway in Chicago for the November 3 General Election. Since October 1, voters have been casting ballots at two downtown early voting supersites, 69 West Washington (6th Floor) and 137 S. State Street. The two locations…
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15.83%median
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
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10.75%median
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions