Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.14%median
14%34%
Median 28.14%Middle half 25.94% – 30.67%
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ID-01 House election: Russ Fulcher vote percent
The odds
64.61%median
56%76%
Median 64.61%Middle half 62% – 67.61%
How the odds have moved
Median: 64.5% on Oct 19, 64.61% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 58% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 60% | 90% | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | ||
| At least 62% | 75% | 71¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 565 | |
| At least 64% | 56% | 51¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 400 | |
| At least 66% | 38% | 33¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | ||
| At least 68% | 22% | 18¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 205 | |
| At least 70% | 12% | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 1.2K | |
| At least 72% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | |||
| At least 74% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: ID- House, Russ Fulcher
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Congressman Fulcher visits Grangeville during reelection campaignIdaho County Free Press - Regional News for Idaho and the Pacific Northwest Congressman Russ Fulcher, who has served as Idahoâs District 1 U.S. Representative since 2019, stopped by Grangeville to speak to a crowd of 35 about important… -
Cowardly candidates make weak leadersHaving the courage of your convictions should be a prerequisite for elected office. Yet courage seems increasingly rare in the Idaho Statehouse and U.S. Capitol. It doesn’t have to be that way. I’ve seen tremendous courage from Idaho… -
Idaho 2026 Election Guide: Key Dates, Voting Information and ResultsIDAHO — The November 2026 election is approaching, and KMVT’s voter guide includes information voters need before heading to the polls. This guide incorporates reporting and election information from sister station Idaho News 6. On… -
Opinion: Cowardly candidates make weak leadersHaving the courage of your convictions should be a prerequisite for elected office. Yet courage seems increasingly rare in the Idaho Statehouse and U.S. Capitol. It doesn’t have to be that way. I’ve seen tremendous courage from Idaho… -
Opinion: Idaho's future depends on your voteWe’ve been here before. Less than four weeks before an election that could change the course of our nation’s future, all the talking heads are telling you to give up. It’s over, they say. Democrats will win the House, and probably the… -
Idaho Congressman Russ Fulcher discusses key issues before Election DayKTVB Idaho Congressman Russ Fulcher discusses key issues before Election Day To stream KTVB on your phone, you need the KTVB app. Download the KTVB app Next up in 5 Example video title will go here for this video Before You Leave, Check… -
Voter guide: Catch up here before the big dayIdaho voters will head to the polls Nov. 3 to decide school funding measures, legislative and congressional races, statewide offices, and several statewide ballot questions. Here’s what to know before you vote, including registration… -
ASI, Members of Congress Support American Sheep ProducersPUBLISHED ON October 13, 2026 The following Members of Congress signed on in bipartisan and bicameral support of the letter: Rep. Mark Amodei (R-NV) Rep. Jodey Arrington (R-TX) Rep. Brian Babin (R-TX) Rep. Jim Baird (R-IN) Rep. Cliff Bentz… - National Critical Minerals Council Act Introduced in CongressHome | News | Environmental Policy US Senators John Hickenlooper, Thom Tillis, Jacky Rosen, Tim Sheehy, and Kevin Cramer, along with Representatives Susie Lee and Russ Fulcher, introduced the bipartisan National Critical Minerals Council…
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Ferro: Lots to hope for in from this electionLiving in a state with a red trifecta — Republicans holding the governorship and both houses of the legislature — means we miss much of the hoopla of elections — no outrageous ads by Elon Musk or rallies with the president. Trump has 36… -
Jones: If they aren't doing their job, fire themMike Simpson used to have an independent streak on natural resource issues, but he now follows each and every order issued by the president. Whatever happened to the concept of checks and balances? Mike asked for my support in 1984 to… -
Idaho’s First Congressional District Candidates discuss public lands, healthcare and immigrationKaylee Peterson, 36, has previously worked as a political organizer and is the Democratic candidate for Idaho’s First Congressional District. Sarah Zabel, 61, is a retired U.S. Air Force major general looking to represent Idaho’s First…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.79%median
8%28%
Median 15.79%Middle half 14.07% – 17.91%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.81%median
32%56%
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Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.5%median
0%16%
Median 10.5%Middle half 8.26% – 13.43%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.67%median
7%40%
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.26%median
30%65%
Median 45.26%Middle half 41.89% – 48.21%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions