ID-01 House election: Kaylee Peterson vote percent

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $237 traded · $237 at stake · prices read 10 h ago

The odds

33.1%median

22%44%

Median 33.1%Middle half 30.58% – 35.63%

How the odds have moved

Median: 32.16% on Oct 19, 33.1% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
At least 24%	97%	95¢	99¢	$1.01
At least 26%	97%	94¢		$1.03
At least 28%	94%	89¢	98¢	$1.02
At least 30%	81%	76¢	85¢	$1.18
At least 32%	62%	57¢	66¢	$1.52
At least 34%	41%	36¢	45¢	$2.22
At least 36%	22%	17¢	26¢	$3.85	1.1K
At least 38%	10%	5¢	14¢	$7.14
At least 40%	4%		8¢	$12.50
At least 42%	3%		5¢	$20.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: ID- House, Kaylee Peterson

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Cowardly candidates make weak leadersSandpoint Reader · 5 days agoHaving the courage of your convictions should be a prerequisite for elected office. Yet courage seems increasingly rare in the Idaho Statehouse and U.S. Capitol. It doesn’t have to be that way. I’ve seen tremendous courage from Idaho…
Idaho 2026 Election Guide: Key Dates, Voting Information and Results@kmvtnews · 6 days agoIDAHO — The November 2026 election is approaching, and KMVT’s voter guide includes information voters need before heading to the polls. This guide incorporates reporting and election information from sister station Idaho News 6. On…
Letters to the EditorCoeur d'Alene Press · 13 days agoTRUMP: Words do matter I agree with Mister Scheets that words certainly do matter. I too saw the speech that you refer to. I believe that the reference you refer to was in the context of what could happen if Iran had a nuclear delivery…
Ferro: Lots to hope for in from this electionIdaho Press · 14 days agoLiving in a state with a red trifecta — Republicans holding the governorship and both houses of the legislature — means we miss much of the hoopla of elections — no outrageous ads by Elon Musk or rallies with the president. Trump has 36…
Idaho’s First Congressional District Candidates discuss public lands, healthcare and immigrationIdaho Press · 14 days agoKaylee Peterson, 36, has previously worked as a political organizer and is the Democratic candidate for Idaho’s First Congressional District. Sarah Zabel, 61, is a retired U.S. Air Force major general looking to represent Idaho’s First…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onIdaho Secretary of State

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$237 (1,100 contracts)

This week$39

At stake$237

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Kaylee Peterson in the 2026 ID-01 House election is 24% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions