IA-02 House election: Lindsay James vote percent

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $698 traded · $692 at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

52.05%median
40%58%
Median 52.05%Middle half 49.23% – 54.84%

How the odds have moved

Median: 49.28% on Oct 19, 52.05% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 42% 98% 95¢ $1.03
At least 44% 97% 93¢ $1.04
At least 46% 95% ▲ 1 90¢ 99¢ $1.01
At least 48% 85% ▲ 2 80¢ 89¢ $1.12
At least 50% 69% ▲ 2 65¢ 73¢ $1.37 814
At least 52% 51% ▲ 2 46¢ 55¢ $1.82 219
At least 54% 32% ▲ 2 27¢ 36¢ $2.78 37.00
At least 56% 16% ▲ 1 11¢ 21¢ $4.76 87.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: IA- House, Lindsay James

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  • U.S. House District 2 - Lindsay JamesThe Gazette · 5 days agoWhat are the three most important issues facing the country/Iowa's role in the country? What will you do in Congress to address them? Should Congress continue deficit spending at current levels, or should it prioritize new revenue (tax…
  • Iowa’s health care electionPOLITICO · 29 h agoThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. 10/25/2026 12:37 PM EDT With help from Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Happy Sunday. This is Eli Okun coming to you with a dispatch from Iowa, where I…
  • The Turnstile show on the Mall could draw the biggest punk crowd in decadesThe Washington Post · 3 days agoIt was an off-the-cuff comment Joe Mitchell made to President Donald Trump during a Republican campaign rally Thursday. “We don’t ride bicycles in Iowa. We ride Harley-Davidsons, isn’t that true,” said Mitchell, a former Trump…
  • A candidate said Iowans don’t ride bikes. The state has a famous bike tour.The Washington Post · 3 days agoIt was an off-the-cuff comment Joe Mitchell made to President Donald Trump during a Republican campaign rally Thursday. “We don’t ride bicycles in Iowa. We ride Harley-Davidsons, isn’t that true,” said Mitchell, a former Trump…
  • Viral video of ‘Lady Gringa’ accosting taco workers outrages Mexico CityThe Washington Post · 3 days agoIt was an off-the-cuff comment Joe Mitchell made to President Donald Trump during a Republican campaign rally Thursday. “We don’t ride bicycles in Iowa. We ride Harley-Davidsons, isn’t that true,” said Mitchell, a former Trump…
  • Nick Reiner may get to use trust fund for murder defenseThe Washington Post · 3 days agoIt was an off-the-cuff comment Joe Mitchell made to President Donald Trump during a Republican campaign rally Thursday. “We don’t ride bicycles in Iowa. We ride Harley-Davidsons, isn’t that true,” said Mitchell, a former Trump…
  • Iowa House candidates divided on tariffs, IranThe Black Chronicle · 2 days agoThe Black Chronicle Candidates in Iowa’s second congressional district are divided on tariffs, healthcare and gas prices as the race for control of Congress comes to the heartland. Iowa Rep. Lindsay James, D-Dubuque, and Republican former…
  • Opinion: Voters should send James, Bohannan to CongressThe Gazette · 2 days agoDemocrat Lindsay James (left) and Republican Joe Mitchell are vying in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District. Voters in Iowa’s 1st and 2nd congressional districts will see new and familiar names on their ballots in this fall’s election. In…
  • Midterms: Is the “Religious Left” Trying to Con Conservative Voters?The New American · 48 h agoOne candidate has chosen a pastor who isn’t sure Jesus Christ existed and believes He didn’t die for our sins. Another supposes that Scripture got it wrong on sexuality. A third expressed discomfort at public Christian displays and…
  • Wild leaked racial rant rocks Trump pick in toss-up House raceRaw Story · 3 days agoAn attorney for Joe Mitchell, a House candidate endorsed by President Donald Trump, did not dispute the authenticity of a raunchy leaked video of his profane racial remarks, instead accusing “political foes” of trying to “damage his…
  • ‘Thank God you’re building the ballroom’: Joe Mitchell flatters Trump with homemade award in Sioux CityIowa Starting Line · 3 days agoAt President Trump’s rally in Sioux City on Oct. 22, Republican Joe Mitchell flattered the president and his planned ballroom enthusiastically and even claimed that Iowans “don’t ride bicycles.” Thursday night, Joe Mitchell was far from…
  • Iowa 2nd District debates: PAC money, data centers, cancer and water qualityIowa Starting Line · 4 days agoLindsay James and Joe Mitchell debated twice ahead of the midterm election. A PAC admission, a consulting firm’s statement on Mitchell’s data center ties, and a clash over cancer and water quality stood out. Republican Joe Mitchell and…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions