Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
Install
HI-01 House election: Ed Case vote percent
The odds
71.35%median
62%82%
Median 71.35%Middle half 68.94% – 73.67%
How the odds have moved
Median: 72.47% on Oct 20, 71.35% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 64% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | 1.5K | ||
| At least 66% | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 68% | 84% | ▲ 1 | 79¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 800 |
| At least 70% | 66% | ▲ 1 | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 1.0K |
| At least 72% | 43% | 38¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | ||
| At least 74% | 22% | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | ||
| At least 76% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 78% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 80% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: HI- House, Ed Case
Search ›-
Del. Moylan highlights $55M secured in FY 2026, seeking $145M for FY2027 in congressional addressGuam Del. James Moylan recognizes the presence of family members of the late Vietnam War veteran U.S. Army Sgt. Maj. Juan Ogo Blaz, during his 2026 Congressional Address to island leaders and community members gathered within the Guam… -
RELIGION HEADLINES WED 10/21(SRN NEWS)-( ) A man running for Congress in Hawaii is part of a national slate of third-party, pro-life activists seeking office. Nathan Berning is challenging Democrat Ed Case for his 1st Congressional District seat in the November… -
Hawaii incumbents face longshot challengers in Congressional racesTuesday, October 20, 2026 81° Today's Paper Today • Updated 9:30 a.m. STAR-ADVERTISER / JULY 8 GOP congressional candidate Adriel Lam hands out stickers to participants during a candidate fair at Lanakila Multi-Purpose Senior Center in… -
Hawaii primary races showed every vote counts in lackluster electionsHawaii could see a relatively ho-hum election on Nov. 3 with no presidential race at the top of the ballot, no major challengers for Gov. Josh Green or U.S. Rep. Ed Case, and a long-shot Republican bid against incumbent U.S. Rep. Jill… -
India-bound US lawmakers will raise issues of democracy, minority rightsWashington, Aug 8 A bipartisan delegation of US lawmakers headed for India for, among other things, attending the Prime Minister’s Independence Day speech from the Red Fort on August 15, plans to raise issues of democracy, minority rights… -
U.S. Rep. Ed Case recognized for supporting small businessesU.S. Rep. Ed Case, D-Hawaii, has been named a "Franchise Champion" by the International Franchise Association for his support of franchise businesses and small businesses. The association said Hawaii has more than 2,800 franchise locations… -
Hirono, Hawaiʻi delegation press Education Department over redirected minority-serving institution fundsUS Sen. Mazie Hirono and a group of congressional Democrats are asking the US Department of Education to restore federal money they say was improperly shifted away from minority-serving institutions, a category of colleges that includes… -
Pro-Choice, Anti-Abortion Mainlander Seeks Oʻahu Congress SeatNathan Berning doesn’t live in Hawaiʻi, but he’s running for Congress here so he can push an anti-abortion agenda. Hawaiʻi congressional candidate Nathan Berning doesn’t live in Hawaiʻi, claims to be pro-choice, and yet works with an… -
Indian-American Congressmen to attend PM's address on I-DayWashington, Aug 8 Two prominent Indian-American lawmakers, Ro Khanna and Shri Thanedar will travel to India with a bipartisan congressional delegation and attend Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Red Fort address on Independence Day. Khanna… -
Hawaiʻi delegation questions shift to in-person immigration hearings that affect Maui residentsHawaiʻi’s congressional delegation is pressing the US Department of Justice to explain why the Honolulu Immigration Court has moved away from video appearances. The lawmakers say the change requires Maui residents facing deportation to fly… -
McCaul, Costa, Colleagues Urge "Full and Faithful" Implementation of Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran ActHouse Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Emeritus Michael McCaul (R-Texas) joined Congressman Jim Costa (D-Calif.) and 20 bipartisan colleagues in sending a letter to President Trump urging "full and faithful" implementation of the Lindsey… -
Rep. Costa Leads Bipartisan Push for Full Implementation of Graham Russia Sanctions Law2081 Rayburn House Office Building Washington, DC 20515 Email Me (202) 225-3341 “As Russia prepares to wage a fifth winter campaign against Ukraine, the United States has an opportunity to reinvigorate peace efforts by placing maximum…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 17.96%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
45.8%median
36%56%
Median 45.8%Middle half 43.1% – 48.59%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.55%median
0%16%
Median 10.55%Middle half 8.3% – 13.35%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.67%median
7%40%
Median 13.67%Middle half 10.39% – 17.39%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.26%median
30%65%
Median 45.26%Middle half 41.89% – 48.14%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions