Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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GA-14 House election: Shawn Harris vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
40%median
28%48%
Median 40%Middle half 37.33% – 42.8%
How the odds have moved
Median: 41% on Oct 20, 40% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 32% | 97% | ▲ 1 | 94¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 34% | 94% | ▲ 3 | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 500 |
| At least 36% | 85% | ▲ 7 | 80¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 1.5K |
| At least 38% | 70% | ▲ 10 | 65¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 210 |
| At least 40% | 50% | ▲ 11 | 45¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 410 |
| At least 42% | 31% | ▲ 10 | 26¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 10.00 |
| At least 44% | 16% | ▲ 6 | 12¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 15.00 |
| At least 46% | 6% | ▲ 2 | 1¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: GA- House, Shawn Harris
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Candidate Q &A – SHAWN HARRIS (US House Dist. 14)Published 6:19 pm Wednesday, October 21, 2026 Following are the questions, and the responses to those questions from Candidate Shawn Harris, running for a seat in the U.S. House of Representatives to represent Georgia’s 14th Congressional… -
DECISION 2026: Georgia’s 14th Congressional DistrictFor the fourth time in 2026, voters in Georgia’s 14th Congressional District will decide who will represent them in the U.S. House of Representatives. Since winning a runoff election in April, Republican Clay Fuller has represented the… -
Rep. Austin Scott rallies with Bibb GOP womenRep. Austin Scott in Macon. 8th District Republican Congressman Austin Scott said don't believe everything you hear in the national media about a possible Democrat sweep in next month's general election. Scott spoke to a Republican women's… -
President Trump campaigns for Republicans in DaltonDALTON, Ga. (WDEF)-“This is a big election folks.” President Trump made his second stop this year in North Georgia on Friday at the Dalton Municipal Airport. This time with major stakes on the line for the Republican Party nationally… -
WATCH LIVE: President Trump to campaign for GOPs Collins, Jackson in Dalton FridayPresident Donald Trump speaks at an event for Anduril Industries, Inc., at Sparrows Point Shipyard, Tuesday, Oct. 6, 2026, in Sparrows Point, MD. OCT. 16, 2026 | UPDATE: President Donald Trump is scheduled to appear at a Midterm Rally in… -
Trump returns to Georgia for rally today as races tightenDALTON, Ga. — President Donald Trump is back in Georgia on Friday, headlining a campaign rally in Dalton as the state’s nationally watched midterm races enter their final stretch and early voting ramps up. The event is scheduled for 1:30… -
President Trump headlining Dalton rally today as Georgia early voting underwayATLANTA, Ga. (Atlanta News First) — President Donald Trump will be in Georgia on Friday, headlining a campaign rally in Dalton as the state’s nationally watched midterm races enter their final stretch. The event is scheduled for 1:30 p.m… -
LETTER: DeLancy is most qualified for CongressOconee Enterprise Now that Early Voting has begun in Georgia (10/13 â 10/30), it is critical for voters to consider the qualifications of the candidates running for federal and state offices. Near the top of the ballot, Iâm addressing… -
Georgia breaks early voting record ahead of Trump, Vance visitsATLANTA, Ga. (Atlanta News First) — Voters are back at the polls Tuesday after a record-high turnout for early voting ahead of the midterm elections. The first-day turnout was nearly 200,000, shattering the record from previous years… -
Which States Have Election Commissions or BoardsInformation on who is appointed to these boards and how is rooted in state statutes. In order to demystify the process, ERN has collected information from each state, which you can find below: Detail: Secretary of State serves as… -
Catoosa County voters' guide to the general electionHere are key dates and information for Catoosa County voters for the Nov. 3 general election, including early voting hours, voter registration and absentee ballot deadlines. Polls will be open from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Tuesday, Nov. 3. Voters… -
Walker County voters' guide to the general electionElection Day isn’t until Nov. 3, but early voting is already underway. Georgia voters will get a new “I Voted” sticker (right) featuring the Gold Dome and state flag, though the familiar peach sticker (left) will still be available in some…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions