Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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GA-14 House election: Clay Fuller vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
58.9%median
52%72%
Median 58.9%Middle half 56.22% – 61.56%
How the odds have moved
Median: 57.91% on Oct 19, 58.9% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 92% | ▼ 3 | 90¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 2.00 |
| At least 56% | 77% | ▼ 9 | 72¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 5.00 |
| At least 58% | 59% | ▼ 11 | 54¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 502 |
| At least 60% | 39% | ▼ 12 | 34¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 205 |
| At least 62% | 21% | ▼ 10 | 16¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 5.00 |
| At least 64% | 13% | ▼ 3 | 11¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| At least 66% | 5% | ▼ 2 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | |
| At least 68% | 3% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 70% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: GA- House, Clay Fuller
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MAGA Inc. has spent $277 million on the midterms; Here’s where the money has goneA late ad blitz targets key Senate and House battlegrounds across the country as Election Day nears. President Trump’s flagship super PAC has spent nearly $277 million since the start of September, ramping up spending to help Republicans… -
AROUND TOWN: Cobb Schools’ praise of Fuller bill draws ire from DemocratsA social post made Thursday by the Cobb County School District praising legislation aimed at blocking sexually explicit materials is drawing ire from local Democrats. U.S. Rep. Clay Fuller, R-Lookout Mountain, speaks during a July Cobb… -
DECISION 2026: Georgia’s 14th Congressional DistrictFor the fourth time in 2026, voters in Georgia’s 14th Congressional District will decide who will represent them in the U.S. House of Representatives. Since winning a runoff election in April, Republican Clay Fuller has represented the… -
Rep. Austin Scott rallies with Bibb GOP womenRep. Austin Scott in Macon. 8th District Republican Congressman Austin Scott said don't believe everything you hear in the national media about a possible Democrat sweep in next month's general election. Scott spoke to a Republican women's… -
Trump will rally in Dalton with Mike Collins, Rick Jackson as Georgia midterm stakes riseUpdated on: October 16, 2026 / 8:50 AM EDT / AP Donald Trump's midterm campaign blitz arrives in Georgia on Friday for a rally with top Republican candidates in a state that has long been the epicenter of the president's false claims about… -
President Trump campaigns for Republicans in DaltonDALTON, Ga. (WDEF)-“This is a big election folks.” President Trump made his second stop this year in North Georgia on Friday at the Dalton Municipal Airport. This time with major stakes on the line for the Republican Party nationally… -
‘Pretend I’m on the ballot’: Trump rallies for Jackson, Collins in northwest GeorgiaATLANTA, Ga. (Atlanta News First) — President Donald Trump headlined a campaign rally in northwest Georgia on Friday, urging conservative voters to treat the midterm election as if his own name were on the ballot. Speaking from an airport… -
Trump will rally Georgia Republicans despite party divisions in battleground stateIn Dalton, the population center of conservative northwest Georgia, Trump will appear with Senate candidate Mike Collins and gubernatorial nominee Rick Jackson as part of the White House effort to boost Republican enthusiasm in an election… -
WATCH LIVE: President Trump to campaign for GOPs Collins, Jackson in Dalton FridayPresident Donald Trump speaks at an event for Anduril Industries, Inc., at Sparrows Point Shipyard, Tuesday, Oct. 6, 2026, in Sparrows Point, MD. OCT. 16, 2026 | UPDATE: President Donald Trump is scheduled to appear at a Midterm Rally in… -
Trump returns to Georgia for rally today as races tightenDALTON, Ga. — President Donald Trump is back in Georgia on Friday, headlining a campaign rally in Dalton as the state’s nationally watched midterm races enter their final stretch and early voting ramps up. The event is scheduled for 1:30… -
President Trump headlining Dalton rally today as Georgia early voting underwayATLANTA, Ga. (Atlanta News First) — President Donald Trump will be in Georgia on Friday, headlining a campaign rally in Dalton as the state’s nationally watched midterm races enter their final stretch. The event is scheduled for 1:30 p.m…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 17.96%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
45.8%median
36%56%
Median 45.8%Middle half 43.1% – 48.62%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.45%median
0%16%
Median 10.45%Middle half 8.22% – 13.31%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.67%median
7%40%
Median 13.67%Middle half 10.39% – 17.39%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.5%median
30%65%
Median 45.5%Middle half 42.33% – 48.36%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions